- The trend backdrop is active with a 37-week active streak.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
TPIS3
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Triunfo Participações e Investimentos S.A. · Industrials · Infrastructure Operations
Latest close
8.05 BRL
-3.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is -4.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a -16.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
8.05 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-16.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
71.2%
37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.43% based on similar historical setup states.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -16.1%.
Indicator stack
84/15
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.43%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is -4.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 58.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a -16.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.6612-week average 0.89
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -16.1% over four weeks, -21.1% over 12 weeks, and 129.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 37 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak37 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.03Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-206.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership22.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-53.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-30.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-12.7%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-3.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses8
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.5% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Industrials
4-week rank97 / 100
Group average-0.9%
Trend breadth32.0%
Trend32.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS45.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Infrastructure Operations
4-week rank4 / 4
Group average-9.4%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape51/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis69/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.66; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.43%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.43% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 8.05 BRL | -3.0% | 8.43 BRL | 4.75 BRL | -1.03 | 22.62 | 112.7K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8.30 BRL | -3.5% | 8.34 BRL | 4.72 BRL | -0.94 | 23.84 | 212.4K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 8.60 BRL | -8.8% | 8.23 BRL | 4.69 BRL | -0.82 | 32.55 | 169.9K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 9.43 BRL | -1.8% | 8.10 BRL | 4.66 BRL | -0.54 | 47.30 | 172.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 9.60 BRL | -6.5% | 7.95 BRL | 4.62 BRL | -0.34 | 48.58 | 101.6K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 10.27 BRL | -8.7% | 7.76 BRL | 4.58 BRL | -0.09 | 64.62 | 28.4K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11.25 BRL | 5.5% | 7.55 BRL | 4.54 BRL | -0.01 | 84.62 | 56.1K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 10.66 BRL | -3.1% | 7.30 BRL | 4.48 BRL | 0.09 | 83.73 | 12.7K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 11.00 BRL | 18.9% | 7.07 BRL | 4.44 BRL | 0.30 | 90.63 | 72.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 9.25 BRL | -7.3% | 6.82 BRL | 4.39 BRL | 0.50 | 65.91 | 115.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 9.98 BRL | 3.0% | 6.63 BRL | 4.35 BRL | 0.92 | 76.98 | 187.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 9.69 BRL | -5.0% | 6.44 BRL | 4.31 BRL | 1.15 | 72.65 | 278.6K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 10.20 BRL | -3.0% | 6.23 BRL | 4.26 BRL | 1.26 | 83.79 | 245.9K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 10.52 BRL | -7.1% | 6.01 BRL | 4.21 BRL | 1.47 | 86.09 | 404.2K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.