1909 TAI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Longchen Paper & Packaging Co., Ltd. · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 10.00 TWD
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -2.9% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 10.00 TWD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return -2.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 11.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 30.8% 16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.04% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -2.9%. Indicator stack 24/60 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.04% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -2.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3712-week average 0.16

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -2.9% over four weeks, 11.5% over 12 weeks, and -2.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W-2.9%
12W11.5%
26W0.4%
52W-2.9%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.71Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-28.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment-

No current sentiment snapshot is stored.

Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-13.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-7.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses15
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis33/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.37; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.04%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.04% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100

No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.

 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202610.00 TWD1.5%9.70 TWD11.94 TWD0.71-27.0714.9MOn
31 Jul 20269.85 TWD-2.0%9.69 TWD11.99 TWD0.90-27.2814.4MOn
24 Jul 202610.05 TWD-0.5%9.70 TWD12.03 TWD0.98-27.7413.6MOff
17 Jul 202610.10 TWD-1.9%9.70 TWD12.07 TWD0.92-26.4917.9MOff
10 Jul 202610.30 TWD0.0%9.73 TWD12.11 TWD1.00-30.1244.9MOff
3 Jul 202610.30 TWD8.8%9.75 TWD12.15 TWD0.78-32.9420.7MOff
26 Jun 20269.47 TWD-7.2%9.79 TWD12.19 TWD0.65-35.9317.9MOff
19 Jun 202610.20 TWD3.3%9.81 TWD12.24 TWD0.28-34.5124.3MOff
12 Jun 20269.87 TWD1.3%9.81 TWD12.28 TWD-0.29-33.9221.4MOff
5 Jun 20269.74 TWD9.1%9.80 TWD12.32 TWD-0.74-36.7042.0MOff
29 May 20268.93 TWD-0.3%9.79 TWD12.36 TWD-1.09-42.1518.0MOff
22 May 20268.96 TWD-0.1%9.83 TWD12.41 TWD-1.15-39.3611.3MOff
15 May 20268.97 TWD-2.2%9.86 TWD12.46 TWD-1.08-38.5016.1MOff
8 May 20269.17 TWD1.3%9.89 TWD12.51 TWD-0.86-38.5715.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context