What the company does
Nelcast Limited manufactures and sells ductile and grey iron castings in India and internationally. The company provides commercial components, including bogie suspension bracket, conventional suspension/engine/steering/cab mounting bracket, rear and forward differential carrier, flanged and plain half, wheel hub, bearing cap, brake drum, and brake disc rotor products; and tractor/farm components, such as hydraulic lift cover, axle housing, four-wheel drive front axle housing, front engine support, transmission clutch, and center/differential housing products. It also offers off highway/army components, including transmission and differential case, converter and axle housing, and planetary carrier products; railway products comprising brake discs …
What the weekly tape is saying
NELCAST closed the latest completed week at 139.3 INR. The 4-week return is -2.0% and the 12-week return is 16.3%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 0.81. Setup signature: Deep recovery attempt with a 55/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 119.8 INR
- Vs Trend Line
- 16.3%
- Fair Value
- 131.1 INR
- Vs Fair Value
- 6.3%
- 52W High
- 180.9 INR
- 52W Low
- 85.98 INR
- Drawdown
- -23.0%
- Range Position
- 56.2%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 9 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 25
- 52W Active Breadth
- 48.1%
- Sector Scope
- IN Industrials
- Sector Rank
- 256 of 472
- Sector Percentile
- 45.9%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
IN Industrials
- Tracked Peers
- 100
- 4W Rank
- - of 100
- Avg 1W
- -0.4%
- Avg 4W
- 2.2%
- Trend Breadth
- 54.0%
- Positive MD
- 76.0%
IN Metal Fabrication
- Tracked Peers
- 27
- 4W Rank
- 16 of 27
- Avg 1W
- -0.7%
- Avg 4W
- 2.4%
- Trend Breadth
- 48.1%
- Positive RS
- 55.6%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- 0.81
- 4W MD Change
- -41.3%
- Relative Strength
- 13.88
- 4W RS Change
- -18.5%
- Expectation
- Undecided
- Probability
- 48.62%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 908.2K
- 13W Average
- 992.4K
- 52W Average
- 1.3M
- Vs 13W
- 0.9x
- Vs 52W
- 0.7x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 7.4%
- 52W Volatility
- 7.7%
- Upside Weeks
- 26
- Downside Weeks
- 26
- Downside Breadth
- 50.0%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 5.5% / -4.7%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- NSI
- Country
- IN
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Metal Fabrication
- Currency
- INR
- Market Cap
- 12.3B
Opportunity signals
- Trend Signal is active with a 9-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.
Risk signals
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 139.3 INR | -1.0% | 119.8 INR | 131.1 INR | 0.81 | 13.88 | 908.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 140.7 INR | 0.1% | 118.8 INR | 130.8 INR | 0.90 | 16.59 | 1.0M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 140.6 INR | 3.1% | 117.8 INR | 130.5 INR | 1.17 | 15.85 | 926.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 136.4 INR | -4.1% | 117.0 INR | 130.2 INR | 1.34 | 11.77 | 789.0K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 142.2 INR | -11.2% | 116.4 INR | 129.9 INR | 1.39 | 17.03 | 1.1M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 160.2 INR | 12.9% | 115.6 INR | 129.6 INR | 1.48 | 29.37 | 3.2M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 141.9 INR | 10.2% | 114.1 INR | 129.2 INR | 1.19 | 16.82 | 1.2M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 128.8 INR | -8.9% | 113.6 INR | 128.9 INR | 1.00 | 7.46 | 425.9K | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 141.3 INR | 14.5% | 113.9 INR | 128.7 INR | 0.95 | 16.47 | 1.3M | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 123.4 INR | 0.2% | 114.1 INR | 128.4 INR | 0.79 | 3.76 | 486.6K | Off |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 123.1 INR | 3.5% | 114.9 INR | 128.2 INR | 0.85 | 10.24 | 279.2K | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 119.0 INR | -0.7% | 115.6 INR | 128.0 INR | 0.92 | 6.69 | 413.5K | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 119.8 INR | -2.3% | 116.6 INR | 127.8 INR | 0.91 | 6.79 | 861.9K | Off |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 122.7 INR | 7.1% | 118.0 INR | 127.6 INR | 0.90 | 9.70 | 1.2M | Off |