- The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
ALICON
NSI
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alicon Castalloy Limited · Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Latest close
861.70 INR
-1.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 18.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.
Setup score
62
out of 100
Latest Close
861.70 INR
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
-1.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
18.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
36.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 18.0%.
Indicator stack
25/84
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
51/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.2%, after a 18.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5212-week average 0.25
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.52Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 18.0% over four weeks, 36.0% over 12 weeks, and 1.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change39.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership27.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change577.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 89%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength76/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality27/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Momentum69/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Growth11/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework48/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 38.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- - Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 44.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 4.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 3.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -25.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 317.6% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
1 positive · 6 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.4%Week of 2 Oct.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-1.2%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.1% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-2.7%
Trend breadth47.0%
Trend47.0%active weekly trend signals
MD39.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Metal Fabrication
4-week rank5 / 30
Group average1.0%
Trend breadth56.7%
Trend56.7%active weekly trend signals
MD60.0%positive activity pressure
RS73.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape56/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis53/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.52; No reversal markers Factors60/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 30; Small Cap Core rank 31 SVQF48/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 851.5 of 1630 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
Alicon Castalloy (NSE:ALICON): What Does Its Reg 74(5) Certificate for Q2 FY27 Mean? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 861.70 INR | -1.2% | 687.12 INR | 891.49 INR | 1.70 | 27.18 | 389.2K | On |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 871.95 INR | 19.4% | 681.11 INR | 891.24 INR | 1.73 | 29.64 | 1.9M | On |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 730.05 INR | 0.5% | 676.23 INR | 891.01 INR | 1.42 | 5.47 | 232.4K | On |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 726.35 INR | -0.6% | 676.90 INR | 891.78 INR | 1.23 | 3.82 | 92.6K | On |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 730.38 INR | 7.2% | 679.35 INR | 892.46 INR | 1.22 | 4.01 | 219.7K | Off |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 681.39 INR | -0.1% | 681.15 INR | 893.26 INR | 1.08 | -5.19 | 12.9K | Off |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 682.23 INR | -7.6% | 682.34 INR | 894.41 INR | 1.38 | -6.48 | 14.7K | Off |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 738.05 INR | 2.6% | 682.18 INR | 895.38 INR | 1.30 | 0.46 | 17.9K | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 719.60 INR | -3.1% | 680.00 INR | 895.97 INR | 0.85 | -2.73 | 58.7K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 742.75 INR | 10.5% | 680.53 INR | 896.61 INR | 0.47 | -0.65 | 202.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 672.35 INR | 5.7% | 681.97 INR | 897.06 INR | -0.02 | -9.56 | 9.1K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 636.35 INR | 0.5% | 687.71 INR | 898.16 INR | -0.11 | -12.67 | 7.1K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 633.45 INR | 0.1% | 694.47 INR | 899.25 INR | -0.00 | -15.63 | 7.8K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 632.55 INR | -2.8% | 700.95 INR | 900.47 INR | 0.08 | -15.89 | 15.3K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.