- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
GANGAFORGE
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ganga Forging Limited · Industrials · Metal Fabrication
Latest close
2.11 INR
19.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.2%, after a -4.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.
Setup score
27
out of 100
Latest Close
2.11 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
19.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-4.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-9.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
7.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
19.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -4.5%.
Indicator stack
0/32
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 37.77%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
49/100
15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 19.2%, after a -4.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 7.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.03
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -4.5% over four weeks, -9.8% over 12 weeks, and -38.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-103.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-28.89Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 77%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength61/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Value54/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Quality53/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Momentum56/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Growth53/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -5.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 26.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -9.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -8.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -5.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -17.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -12.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
0 positive · 13 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-49.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility13.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+29.0%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-24.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+19.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses10
Recent vol13.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.2% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.8%
Trend breadth62.0%
Trend62.0%active weekly trend signals
MD43.0%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Metal Fabrication
4-week rank18 / 27
Group average2.4%
Trend breadth63.0%
Trend63.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.3%positive activity pressure
RS59.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape23/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.77%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.77% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors55/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 11 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
Ganga Forging Standalone June 2026 Net Sales at Rs 7.19 crore, down 7.24% Y-o-Y Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2.11 INR | 19.2% | 2.64 INR | 5.85 INR | -0.53 | -28.89 | 50.4M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.77 INR | 6.0% | 2.69 INR | 5.87 INR | -0.52 | -40.41 | 17.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.67 INR | -16.1% | 2.75 INR | 5.90 INR | -0.38 | -43.00 | 3.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.99 INR | -10.0% | 2.81 INR | 5.93 INR | -0.43 | -34.49 | 2.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2.21 INR | -10.2% | 2.87 INR | 5.96 INR | -0.26 | -27.70 | 4.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2.46 INR | 29.0% | 2.89 INR | 5.99 INR | -0.34 | -20.42 | 798.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.91 INR | -24.0% | 2.91 INR | 6.02 INR | -0.61 | -38.21 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2.51 INR | -0.8% | 2.96 INR | 6.04 INR | -0.56 | -19.44 | 106.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.53 INR | 8.6% | 2.98 INR | 6.06 INR | -0.70 | -18.17 | 883.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 2.33 INR | -1.3% | 3.01 INR | 6.09 INR | -0.79 | -24.58 | 167.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 2.36 INR | -2.5% | 3.04 INR | 6.12 INR | -0.64 | -24.98 | 1.3M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 2.42 INR | 3.4% | 3.08 INR | 6.13 INR | -0.49 | -24.46 | 1.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 2.34 INR | -10.3% | 3.13 INR | 6.14 INR | -0.41 | -27.56 | 4.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 2.61 INR | -10.0% | 3.17 INR | 6.15 INR | -0.35 | -22.13 | 2.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.