- The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
1323
SAU
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
United Carton Industries Company · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
27.86 SAR
0.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 7.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
64
out of 100
Latest Close
27.86 SAR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
12.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
9.6%
5 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.1x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 14.17% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.7%.
Indicator stack
23/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 14.17%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a 7.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3312-week average 0.20
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
4 accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.7% over four weeks, 12.1% over 12 weeks, and -5.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year5
Trend breadth9.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-19.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1454.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-3.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses12
Sharp losses0
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSA Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank5 / 49
Group average-1.0%
Trend breadth22.4%
Trend22.4%active weekly trend signals
MD49.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySA Packaging & Containers
4-week rank1 / 6
Group average3.4%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD66.7%positive activity pressure
RS83.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape59/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 59/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis56/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.33; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 14.17%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 14.17% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
Accumulate Kajaria Ceramics; target of Rs 1323: Prabhudas Lilladher Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 27.86 SAR | 0.8% | 24.93 SAR | 27.40 SAR | 1.36 | 8.55 | 1.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 27.64 SAR | 11.5% | 24.83 SAR | 27.39 SAR | 1.35 | 10.12 | 2.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 24.78 SAR | -1.2% | 24.78 SAR | 27.38 SAR | 1.36 | -3.47 | 335.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 25.08 SAR | -3.0% | 24.82 SAR | 27.43 SAR | 1.60 | -2.22 | 360.1K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 25.86 SAR | -2.3% | 24.84 SAR | 27.47 SAR | 1.67 | -0.63 | 957.3K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 26.46 SAR | 5.0% | 24.86 SAR | 27.49 SAR | 1.49 | 0.95 | 881.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 25.20 SAR | -0.8% | 24.87 SAR | 27.51 SAR | 1.35 | -5.35 | 658.6K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 25.40 SAR | 0.8% | 24.92 SAR | 27.55 SAR | 1.18 | -6.76 | 653.9K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 25.20 SAR | -0.8% | 24.98 SAR | 27.59 SAR | 1.03 | -7.51 | 498.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 25.40 SAR | 4.2% | 25.07 SAR | 27.64 SAR | 1.03 | -7.20 | 547.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 24.38 SAR | 0.0% | 25.15 SAR | 27.68 SAR | 1.08 | -12.29 | 0 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 24.38 SAR | -1.9% | 25.28 SAR | 27.74 SAR | 1.27 | -12.29 | 462.6K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 24.86 SAR | -3.4% | 25.39 SAR | 27.81 SAR | 1.39 | - | 712.5K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 25.74 SAR | 1.2% | 25.51 SAR | 27.87 SAR | 1.47 | - | 642.6K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.