- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
BBN
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Baby Bunting Group Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
1.16 AUD
11.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -29.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.5%, after a -12.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
26
out of 100
Latest Close
1.16 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
11.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-12.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-19.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
11.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -12.5%.
Indicator stack
22/47
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Buy
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -29.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 6.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.5%, after a -12.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -12.5% over four weeks, -19.2% over 12 weeks, and -31.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-65.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-47.99Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-23.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 40%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength55/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Value94/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum8/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Growth93/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 16.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 5.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 12.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 40.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -3.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 7.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -4.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 4.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 462.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 23.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
4 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalFresh
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-64.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher7 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+18.1%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-13.7%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+11.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains1
Flat weeks3
Modest losses3
Sharp losses13
Recent vol9.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.7% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank86 / 91
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth19.8%
Trend19.8%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS25.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Specialty Retail
4-week rank15 / 16
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth6.3%
Trend6.2%active weekly trend signals
MD87.5%positive activity pressure
RS6.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape29/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis23/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors42/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 52; Small Cap Core rank 14 Patient CapitalFreshActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Fresh buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
Baby Bunting Group Ltd. Revenue Breakdown – ASX:BBN Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.16 AUD | 11.5% | 1.65 AUD | 1.86 AUD | 0.14 | -47.99 | 2.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.04 AUD | -7.6% | 1.70 AUD | 1.86 AUD | 0.30 | -52.14 | 4.7M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.12 AUD | -13.1% | 1.75 AUD | 1.87 AUD | 0.37 | -47.37 | 2.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.29 AUD | -2.3% | 1.79 AUD | 1.87 AUD | 0.42 | -39.89 | 1.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.32 AUD | -8.0% | 1.83 AUD | 1.88 AUD | 0.40 | -38.84 | 1.6M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.44 AUD | 1.4% | 1.87 AUD | 1.88 AUD | 0.33 | -34.13 | 159.6K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.42 AUD | -13.7% | 1.91 AUD | 1.88 AUD | 0.31 | -34.71 | 416.3K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.65 AUD | -0.6% | 1.95 AUD | 1.88 AUD | 0.23 | -25.24 | 417.9K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.66 AUD | 13.4% | 1.99 AUD | 1.87 AUD | -0.17 | -24.71 | 245.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.46 AUD | -8.5% | 2.03 AUD | 1.87 AUD | -0.52 | -32.32 | 881.2K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.59 AUD | 18.1% | 2.08 AUD | 1.87 AUD | -0.88 | -27.17 | 170.3K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.35 AUD | -5.9% | 2.11 AUD | 1.87 AUD | -1.22 | -37.93 | 529.5K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.44 AUD | 5.9% | 2.16 AUD | 1.87 AUD | -1.32 | -34.03 | 852.2K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.35 AUD | -5.2% | 2.21 AUD | 1.88 AUD | -1.44 | -38.74 | 1.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.