- The trend backdrop is active with a 87-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ADV
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Adtran Networks SE · Technology · Communication Equipment
Latest close
23.30 EUR
0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 42/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
73
out of 100
Latest Close
23.30 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.7x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.20% based on similar historical setup states.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.9%.
Indicator stack
100/87
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.20%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
42/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a 0.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9212-week average 0.94
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.92Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, 3.6% over 12 weeks, and 15.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 87 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak87 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.47Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change130.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-137.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 65%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum64/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Growth75/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 19.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 1.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 34.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -5.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -5.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.0% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 2819.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment42/100
Weighted news tone is negative across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 2 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility0.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 263 weeks finished lower.
Best week+1.8%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-0.4%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains0
Modest gains11
Flat weeks12
Modest losses3
Sharp losses0
Recent vol0.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol0.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/6Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew0.7% / -0.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Technology
4-week rank50 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Communication Equipment
4-week rank5 / 11
Group average-1.5%
Trend breadth36.4%
Trend36.4%active weekly trend signals
MD36.4%positive activity pressure
RS54.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape75/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 75/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis83/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.92; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.20%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.20% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors29/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 55; Small Cap Core rank 79 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment42/100Weighted news tone is negative across 3 relevant articles.
ADTRAN Holdings (NASDAQ: ADTN) lifts Q2 2026 revenue to $281M while narrowing losses Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 23.30 EUR | 0.4% | 22.38 EUR | 19.98 EUR | 1.47 | -1.28 | 56.0K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 23.20 EUR | 0.4% | 22.31 EUR | 19.95 EUR | 1.44 | 1.05 | 27.2K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 23.10 EUR | 0.0% | 22.25 EUR | 19.93 EUR | 1.30 | 2.84 | 20.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 23.10 EUR | 0.0% | 22.19 EUR | 19.90 EUR | 0.99 | 4.15 | 22.2K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 23.10 EUR | 0.0% | 22.13 EUR | 19.87 EUR | 0.64 | 3.41 | 29.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 23.10 EUR | 1.8% | 22.08 EUR | 19.85 EUR | 0.10 | 0.76 | 3.2K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 22.70 EUR | 0.0% | 22.02 EUR | 19.82 EUR | -0.31 | 3.59 | 1.9K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 22.70 EUR | 1.0% | 21.97 EUR | 19.80 EUR | -0.31 | 2.50 | 4.8K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 22.48 EUR | 0.4% | 21.92 EUR | 19.77 EUR | -0.21 | 3.08 | 5.9K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 22.38 EUR | -0.4% | 21.88 EUR | 19.75 EUR | 0.19 | 2.29 | 4.5K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 22.48 EUR | 0.0% | 21.83 EUR | 19.72 EUR | 0.70 | 1.54 | 44.5K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 22.48 EUR | 0.0% | 21.79 EUR | 19.70 EUR | 1.05 | 2.59 | 21.5K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 22.48 EUR | 0.0% | 21.74 EUR | 19.68 EUR | 1.28 | 6.78 | 32.4K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 22.48 EUR | 0.0% | 21.69 EUR | 19.65 EUR | 1.38 | 5.33 | 36.6K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.