SWELECTES NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Swelect Energy Systems Limited · Technology · Solar

Latest close 670.6 INR
12.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 38.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.8%, after a 4.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 670.6 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 12.8% latest completed week
4W Return 4.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 46.2% 24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.40% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 38.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.8%, after a 4.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3712-week average 0.36

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.6% over four weeks, 8.8% over 12 weeks, and 7.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W12.8%
4W4.6%
12W8.8%
26W23.4%
52W7.9%
Active trend streak9 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-180.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change234.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength79/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Value80/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Quality20/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth76/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework48/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
18.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-8.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
41.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-22.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
338.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

4 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-9.7%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week+12.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol5.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026670.6 INR12.8%594.7 INR791.3 INR-0.251.74128.0KOn
31 Jul 2026594.3 INR-3.1%591.9 INR790.3 INR-0.23-9.0336.4KOn
24 Jul 2026613.3 INR-0.2%592.7 INR790.3 INR0.05-3.8959.6KOn
17 Jul 2026614.3 INR-4.2%593.4 INR789.6 INR0.17-6.07109.5KOn
10 Jul 2026641.4 INR-1.1%593.4 INR788.5 INR0.31-1.29107.0KOn
3 Jul 2026648.5 INR6.5%593.4 INR787.4 INR0.35-0.2632.7KOn
26 Jun 2026609.0 INR-4.2%593.6 INR786.0 INR0.42-5.260On
19 Jun 2026635.6 INR0.3%596.8 INR784.1 INR0.71-0.7925.4KOn
12 Jun 2026633.9 INR-2.2%599.3 INR782.1 INR0.750.8728.2KOn
5 Jun 2026648.2 INR-2.0%604.3 INR780.1 INR0.884.4810.6KOff
29 May 2026661.3 INR5.2%608.3 INR778.0 INR0.976.09235.0KOff
22 May 2026628.6 INR2.0%613.0 INR775.8 INR0.880.5194.4KOff
15 May 2026616.2 INR-9.7%619.3 INR774.0 INR1.06-0.87242.5KOff
8 May 2026682.5 INR3.5%626.8 INR772.2 INR1.117.51133.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context