TL0 GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

Latest close 287.5 EUR
8.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.0%, after a -19.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100.

Setup score 23 out of 100
Latest Close 287.5 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 8.0% latest completed week
4W Return -19.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -21.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 16.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.0%, after a -19.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3712-week average 0.40

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -19.8% over four weeks, -21.8% over 12 weeks, and 0.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.0%
4W-19.8%
12W-21.8%
26W-17.4%
52W0.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-774.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-14823.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 82%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength2/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Value1/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
Quality21/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Momentum44/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Growth5/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
294.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
11.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
94.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-2.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-54.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
73.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

7 positive · 40 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-17.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+8.0%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026287.5 EUR8.0%338.9 EUR274.8 EUR-0.63-23.41123.5KOff
31 Jul 2026266.1 EUR-2.4%342.0 EUR274.4 EUR-0.29-27.28165.2KOff
24 Jul 2026272.8 EUR-17.6%345.7 EUR274.2 EUR-0.05-23.99195.7KOff
17 Jul 2026331.1 EUR-7.6%350.4 EUR274.0 EUR0.11-6.7767.1KOff
10 Jul 2026358.3 EUR2.3%353.0 EUR273.3 EUR0.090.1682.8KOff
3 Jul 2026350.3 EUR3.3%353.7 EUR272.6 EUR-0.03-4.347.3KOff
26 Jun 2026339.2 EUR-1.8%355.0 EUR272.0 EUR-0.03-2.8620.3KOff
19 Jun 2026345.6 EUR0.4%356.1 EUR271.4 EUR0.08-2.0011.3KOff
12 Jun 2026344.4 EUR-1.2%355.9 EUR270.7 EUR0.19-0.7130.2KOff
5 Jun 2026348.6 EUR-6.2%356.2 EUR270.0 EUR0.360.3322.2KOff
29 May 2026371.8 EUR1.0%356.9 EUR269.2 EUR0.455.9892.5KOff
22 May 2026368.0 EUR0.1%357.6 EUR268.2 EUR0.086.05118.7KOff
15 May 2026367.6 EUR0.8%357.9 EUR266.9 EUR-0.2410.44167.2KOff
8 May 2026364.9 EUR13.2%358.0 EUR265.6 EUR-0.508.19181.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context