PCE1 GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Booking Holdings Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

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Latest close 185.8 EUR
10.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.7%, after a 18.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 185.8 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 10.7% latest completed week
4W Return 18.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 40.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.3% 9 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 10.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 18.5%. Indicator stack 13/75 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 55/100 4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.7%, after a 18.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2712-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.27Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.5% over four weeks, 40.7% over 12 weeks, and 1.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W10.7%
4W18.5%
12W40.7%
26W25.1%
52W1.6%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year9
Trend breadth17.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.19Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change40.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change155.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 79% Model confidence 74%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength17/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality43/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Momentum32/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Growth65/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
23.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
34.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
32.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-5.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
15.1%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

1 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+10.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Travel Services
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average13.1%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

PCE1 · GER18.5%TUI1 · GER7.7%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape52/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 52/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis38/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.27; No reversal markers Factors30/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 6 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

Booking Holdings Stock Surges on Better-Than-Expected Results Despite Middle East ‘Volatility’ Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026185.8 EUR10.7%152.2 EUR154.6 EUR1.194.7410.6KOn
31 Jul 2026167.8 EUR6.2%152.2 EUR154.2 EUR1.09-2.977.1KOff
24 Jul 2026158.1 EUR0.7%152.5 EUR153.8 EUR0.99-7.042.7KOff
17 Jul 2026156.9 EUR0.1%153.4 EUR153.5 EUR1.06-7.116.7KOff
10 Jul 2026156.8 EUR-2.7%154.2 EUR153.1 EUR0.85-8.536.3KOff
3 Jul 2026161.1 EUR1.4%155.1 EUR152.8 EUR0.52-9.05236Off
26 Jun 2026158.9 EUR6.8%155.5 EUR152.3 EUR0.29-6.711.2KOff
19 Jun 2026148.8 EUR5.5%155.9 EUR151.9 EUR0.15-14.14342Off
12 Jun 2026140.9 EUR-2.5%156.3 EUR151.6 EUR0.16-17.914.6KOff
5 Jun 2026144.5 EUR0.0%157.4 EUR151.3 EUR0.16-16.75983Off
29 May 2026144.4 EUR5.3%158.2 EUR151.0 EUR0.17-18.417.6KOff
22 May 2026137.2 EUR3.9%159.2 EUR150.7 EUR0.06-22.3019.5KOff
15 May 2026132.0 EUR-8.5%160.5 EUR150.4 EUR-0.04-22.809.9KOff
8 May 2026144.3 EUR0.6%161.8 EUR150.2 EUR-0.03-17.5013.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context