5246 TWO Week ended 14 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ProbeLeader Co., Ltd. · Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 81.50 TWD
-14.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -41.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.2%, after a -10.2% four-week move. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 24 out of 100
Latest Close 81.50 TWD 14 Aug 2026
1W Return -14.2% latest completed week
4W Return -10.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -48.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.67% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -14.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -10.2%. Indicator stack 45/21 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.67% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -41.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -14.2%, after a -10.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3712-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -10.2% over four weeks, -48.9% over 12 weeks, and 326.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-14.2%
4W-10.2%
12W-48.9%
26W65.7%
52W326.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-41.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.52Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-120.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment-

No current sentiment snapshot is stored.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-78.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+100.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-30.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-14.2%Week of 14 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses11
Recent vol11.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol23.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew21.6% / -10.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis41/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 7/12.

Activity pressure 0.37; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.67%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.67% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.

 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
14 Aug 202681.50 TWD-14.2%138.6 TWD49.48 TWD-1.44-30.522.2MOff
7 Aug 202695.00 TWD15.2%137.4 TWD49.27 TWD-1.36-15.482.5MOff
31 Jul 202682.50 TWD-10.4%135.5 TWD48.97 TWD-1.28-23.933.0MOff
24 Jul 202692.10 TWD1.4%134.1 TWD48.76 TWD-1.17-15.392.5MOff
17 Jul 202690.80 TWD-30.4%132.4 TWD48.50 TWD-1.02-13.824.3MOff
10 Jul 2026130.5 TWD-12.1%130.7 TWD48.23 TWD-0.8917.711.6MOn
3 Jul 2026148.5 TWD-12.9%127.3 TWD47.70 TWD-0.7132.113.7MOn
26 Jun 2026170.5 TWD-12.3%123.4 TWD47.09 TWD-0.5862.372.5MOn
19 Jun 2026194.5 TWD-0.3%118.8 TWD46.32 TWD-0.4582.362.0MOn
12 Jun 2026195.0 TWD6.0%113.3 TWD45.39 TWD-0.3398.163.8MOn
5 Jun 2026184.0 TWD6.7%107.8 TWD44.45 TWD-0.2289.302.5MOn
29 May 2026172.5 TWD8.2%102.7 TWD43.57 TWD-0.0184.375.1MOn
22 May 2026159.5 TWD-2.1%97.88 TWD42.76 TWD0.2885.705.0MOn
15 May 2026163.0 TWD-18.9%93.57 TWD42.05 TWD0.62100.665.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context