- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
LEX
ASX
Week ended 21 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Lefroy Exploration Limited · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
0.13 AUD
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 8.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
38
out of 100
Latest Close
0.13 AUD
21 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
8.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-3.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.29% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 8.3%.
Indicator stack
33/68
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.29%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 8.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1312-week average 0.09
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 8.3% over four weeks, -3.7% over 12 weeks, and 0.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change137.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 23 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024
Field coverage 55%
Model confidence 16%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength40/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Value44/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Quality43/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Momentum44/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 57; rank 1 is best.
Growth45/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -17.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -10.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -16.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -16.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
1 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-63.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
17 Jul
21 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-24.2%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 21 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains0
Flat weeks6
Modest losses1
Sharp losses11
Recent vol10.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol12.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew12.1% / -9.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average20.9%
Trend breadth34.0%
Trend34.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS69.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank- / 100
Group average10.3%
Trend breadth29.0%
Trend29.0%active weekly trend signals
MD38.0%positive activity pressure
RS48.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis14/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.13; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.29%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.29% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors42/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 87; Small Cap Core rank 58 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
Lefroy Exploration (ASX:LEX) Shares Rise 15% as Mt Martin Results Add to Gold Development Work Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.13 AUD | 0.0% | 0.1715 AUD | 0.1343 AUD | 0.41 | -30.06 | 913.3K | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.13 AUD | 8.3% | 0.1763 AUD | 0.1348 AUD | 0.16 | -30.50 | 626.0K | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 4.3% | 0.1802 AUD | 0.1352 AUD | -0.35 | -36.89 | 1.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.115 AUD | -4.2% | 0.1845 AUD | 0.1358 AUD | -0.80 | -37.69 | 520.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 20.0% | 0.1898 AUD | 0.1364 AUD | -1.09 | -33.64 | 743.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.10 AUD | -13.0% | 0.1948 AUD | 0.137 AUD | -1.36 | -44.92 | 86.2K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.115 AUD | -4.2% | 0.2005 AUD | 0.1377 AUD | -1.41 | -36.93 | 5.0K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 0.0% | 0.2033 AUD | 0.1385 AUD | -1.50 | -34.42 | 27.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.12 AUD | 9.1% | 0.2055 AUD | 0.1391 AUD | -1.55 | -33.78 | 523.4K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.11 AUD | 4.8% | 0.2075 AUD | 0.1396 AUD | -1.68 | -39.69 | 147.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.105 AUD | -22.2% | 0.21 AUD | 0.1402 AUD | -1.62 | -42.24 | 348.4K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.135 AUD | 0.0% | 0.213 AUD | 0.1409 AUD | -1.55 | -24.26 | 794.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.135 AUD | 8.0% | 0.2138 AUD | 0.1414 AUD | -1.55 | -24.95 | 153.6K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.125 AUD | 0.0% | 0.2152 AUD | 0.1419 AUD | -1.47 | -29.58 | 940.0K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.