- The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ADP
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. · Technology · Software - Application
Latest close
235.4 EUR
2.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a 11.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.
Setup score
57
out of 100
Latest Close
235.4 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
11.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
40.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
5.8%
3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.27% based on similar historical setup states.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 11.4%.
Indicator stack
14/78
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 35.27%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
51/100
22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 22.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 89.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.7%, after a 11.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4812-week average 0.23
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.48Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 11.4% over four weeks, 40.0% over 12 weeks, and -2.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change32.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change292.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength29/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Value20/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum30/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Growth70/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework63/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 21.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 46.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 26.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 22.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 57.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 7.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 9.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 22.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.8% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
2 positive · 20 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.5%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+2.7%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks4
Modest losses5
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Technology
4-week rank26 / 100
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD42.0%positive activity pressure
RS52.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Software - Application
4-week rank11 / 25
Group average7.5%
Trend breadth24.0%
Trend24.0%active weekly trend signals
MD68.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape49/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 4/12.
Activity pressure 0.48; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.27%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.27% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors44/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 22 SVQF63/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 138.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) Stock Forecasts Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 235.4 EUR | 2.7% | 192.0 EUR | 221.2 EUR | 1.39 | 4.60 | 381 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 229.2 EUR | 4.8% | 191.6 EUR | 221.1 EUR | 1.41 | 4.37 | 1.1K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 218.8 EUR | -1.6% | 191.1 EUR | 221.0 EUR | 1.33 | 1.42 | 713 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 222.2 EUR | 5.2% | 191.0 EUR | 220.9 EUR | 1.19 | 3.87 | 260 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 211.3 EUR | -1.7% | 190.8 EUR | 220.8 EUR | 1.05 | -2.39 | 1.4K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 214.9 EUR | 10.1% | 191.2 EUR | 220.7 EUR | 0.95 | -3.81 | 20 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 195.1 EUR | 2.3% | 191.3 EUR | 220.5 EUR | 0.92 | -9.10 | 78 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 190.6 EUR | -2.2% | 192.0 EUR | 220.5 EUR | 0.93 | -12.69 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 194.8 EUR | -2.3% | 192.8 EUR | 220.5 EUR | 0.95 | -10.03 | 461 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 199.4 EUR | 5.8% | 193.3 EUR | 220.5 EUR | 0.62 | -8.86 | 148 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 188.5 EUR | -1.2% | 193.8 EUR | 220.4 EUR | 0.19 | -15.34 | 279 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 190.7 EUR | 13.5% | 195.6 EUR | 220.4 EUR | -0.33 | -14.07 | 220 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 168.1 EUR | 0.0% | 197.2 EUR | 220.4 EUR | -0.90 | -21.73 | 0 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 168.1 EUR | 0.0% | 199.6 EUR | 220.5 EUR | -1.19 | -23.49 | 0 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.