- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
XVALO
MCE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Vale S.A. · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
12.79 EUR
2.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 78.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a 4.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
12.79 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-4.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
88.5%
46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.4%.
Indicator stack
49/28
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 78.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a 4.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5112-week average 0.77
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.4% over four weeks, -4.8% over 12 weeks, and 170.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-13.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership1.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-66.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
1 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split35/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorES Basic Materials
4-week rank6 / 15
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth53.3%
Trend53.3%active weekly trend signals
MD53.3%positive activity pressure
RS46.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryES Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape47/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis49/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.51; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
Vale, ABB sign deal to expand automation at Brazil iron ore plants Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 12.79 EUR | 2.6% | 13.27 EUR | 6.10 EUR | -1.14 | 1.84 | 8.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 12.46 EUR | -2.1% | 13.26 EUR | 6.03 EUR | -1.24 | 2.24 | 1.7K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 12.73 EUR | 4.4% | 13.22 EUR | 5.97 EUR | -1.16 | 6.48 | 18.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 12.20 EUR | -0.4% | 13.18 EUR | 5.90 EUR | -1.08 | 5.05 | 19.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 12.25 EUR | -5.2% | 13.14 EUR | 5.84 EUR | -1.01 | 5.56 | 256 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 12.91 EUR | -0.2% | 13.09 EUR | 5.77 EUR | -0.94 | 9.72 | 53 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 12.94 EUR | -1.9% | 12.91 EUR | 5.70 EUR | -1.01 | 13.49 | 15.9K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 13.18 EUR | 0.2% | 12.72 EUR | 5.63 EUR | -1.02 | 17.43 | 5.0K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 13.16 EUR | 0.8% | 12.52 EUR | 5.56 EUR | -0.98 | 22.38 | 1.1K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 13.05 EUR | -4.6% | 12.32 EUR | 5.50 EUR | -0.95 | 25.72 | 568 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 13.68 EUR | -0.4% | 12.12 EUR | 5.43 EUR | -0.79 | 33.46 | 16.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 13.73 EUR | 2.2% | 11.90 EUR | 5.35 EUR | -0.80 | 38.81 | 41.0K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 13.44 EUR | -0.4% | 11.68 EUR | 5.28 EUR | -0.74 | 40.75 | 51.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 13.49 EUR | 0.5% | 11.45 EUR | 5.21 EUR | -0.61 | 41.35 | 73.2K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.