RIO LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Rio Tinto Group · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

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Latest close 7,528 GBP
4.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 11.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 7,528 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.9% latest completed week
4W Return 11.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 80.8% 42 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.44% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 11.5%. Indicator stack 44/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.44% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 54/100 28 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.9%, after a 11.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6612-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.66Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.5% over four weeks, -3.1% over 12 weeks, and 64.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.9%
4W11.5%
12W-3.1%
26W10.0%
52W64.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year42
Trend breadth80.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change27.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.51Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change113.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 72%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength96/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Value87/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Quality82/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework71/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
57.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
26.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
7.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-13.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-24.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.

6 positive · 21 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.5%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-8.0%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+4.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split36/16Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape64/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 64/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis63/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.66; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.44%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.44% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors89/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 80 SVQF71/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 77.0 of 260 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 28 relevant articles.

Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) Shares Rise as Mining Sector Factors Shape Investor Sentiment Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20267,528 GBP4.9%7,144 GBP5,435 GBP-0.7410.5121.6MOff
31 Jul 20267,174 GBP4.4%7,093 GBP5,417 GBP-0.996.2511.9MOff
24 Jul 20266,869 GBP2.1%7,053 GBP5,403 GBP-1.113.5114.3MOff
17 Jul 20266,726 GBP-0.4%7,024 GBP5,392 GBP-1.123.0616.7MOff
10 Jul 20266,753 GBP-4.5%6,994 GBP5,381 GBP-1.024.9313.0MOn
3 Jul 20267,070 GBP-1.4%6,955 GBP5,372 GBP-0.658.48773.7KOn
26 Jun 20267,168 GBP-3.1%6,903 GBP5,358 GBP-0.4112.411.5MOn
19 Jun 20267,394 GBP-5.4%6,845 GBP5,344 GBP0.0018.316.8MOn
12 Jun 20267,814 GBP2.8%6,775 GBP5,328 GBP0.2124.692.6MOn
5 Jun 20267,604 GBP-4.6%6,694 GBP5,312 GBP0.1723.592.1MOn
29 May 20267,968 GBP2.5%6,615 GBP5,296 GBP0.2430.0114.5MOn
22 May 20267,777 GBP0.1%6,532 GBP5,277 GBP0.0227.3013.3MOn
15 May 20267,766 GBP0.9%6,450 GBP5,259 GBP-0.1131.4514.2MOn
8 May 20267,695 GBP4.1%6,360 GBP5,241 GBP-0.2030.747.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context