135A JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

VRAIN SOLUTION INC. · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Latest close 3,860 JPY
4.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a -12.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 40 out of 100
Latest Close 3,860 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 4.7% latest completed week
4W Return -12.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 12-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.14% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.7%, after a -12.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6912-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.69Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.6% over four weeks, 0.0% over 12 weeks, and 67.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 12 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.7%
4W-12.6%
12W0.0%
26W61.7%
52W67.5%
Active trend streak12 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.29Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-144.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.28Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-81.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

1 positive · 0 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+31.0%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-15.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+4.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.5% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263,860 JPY4.7%3,319 JPY3,014 JPY-0.292.28207.3KOn
31 Jul 20263,685 JPY0.4%3,299 JPY3,008 JPY0.05-0.34303.9KOn
24 Jul 20263,670 JPY-2.1%3,282 JPY3,002 JPY0.36-1.00280.8KOn
17 Jul 20263,750 JPY-15.1%3,267 JPY2,997 JPY0.571.89865.8KOn
10 Jul 20264,415 JPY-3.4%3,251 JPY2,991 JPY0.6412.44372.9KOn
3 Jul 20264,570 JPY14.7%3,211 JPY2,979 JPY0.5214.33108.2KOn
26 Jun 20263,985 JPY-0.5%3,181 JPY2,966 JPY0.460.2462.4KOn
19 Jun 20264,005 JPY9.1%3,175 JPY2,958 JPY0.65-2.27156.8KOn
12 Jun 20263,670 JPY-5.0%3,154 JPY2,949 JPY0.90-3.9090.0KOn
5 Jun 20263,865 JPY-8.0%3,147 JPY2,943 JPY1.14-0.11103.1KOn
29 May 20264,200 JPY-5.9%3,120 JPY2,936 JPY1.278.75812.6KOn
22 May 20264,465 JPY15.7%3,077 JPY2,925 JPY1.1620.871.2MOn
15 May 20263,860 JPY0.3%3,027 JPY2,912 JPY1.048.15834.7KOff
8 May 20263,850 JPY15.4%2,996 JPY2,904 JPY1.005.77402.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context