- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
B1PP34
SAO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
BP p.l.c. · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Latest close
53.00 BRL
-6.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 52.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.9%, after a 6.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
51
out of 100
Latest Close
53.00 BRL
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-6.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-5.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-6.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.0%.
Indicator stack
45/55
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
62/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -0.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 52.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.9%, after a 6.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4212-week average 0.58
12-week confirmation
Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.42Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.0% over four weeks, -5.4% over 12 weeks, and 19.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change91.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change142.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment62/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 7 relevant articles.
5 positive · 1 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-7.9%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-6.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorBR Energy
4-week rank10 / 31
Group average2.1%
Trend breadth38.7%
Trend38.7%active weekly trend signals
MD19.4%positive activity pressure
RS71.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryBR Oil & Gas Integrated
4-week rank5 / 8
Group average8.0%
Trend breadth37.5%
Trend37.5%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape50/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis41/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.42; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment62/100Weighted news tone is positive across 7 relevant articles.
BP (BP) Has A New CEO And A Blunt Diagnosis. Will It Work? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 53.00 BRL | -6.9% | 53.13 BRL | 44.05 BRL | -0.10 | 2.61 | 1.6K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 56.94 BRL | 2.3% | 52.87 BRL | 43.96 BRL | -0.31 | 6.72 | 2.4K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 55.68 BRL | 3.8% | 52.56 BRL | 43.84 BRL | -0.63 | 6.77 | 7.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 53.66 BRL | 7.3% | 52.26 BRL | 43.72 BRL | -0.96 | 3.12 | 7.7K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 50.00 BRL | 0.8% | 52.00 BRL | 43.61 BRL | -1.20 | -6.22 | 508 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 49.59 BRL | 2.9% | 51.89 BRL | 43.53 BRL | -1.10 | -5.27 | 90 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 48.18 BRL | -3.7% | 51.84 BRL | 43.44 BRL | -0.96 | -7.46 | 2.1K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 50.03 BRL | -7.9% | 51.81 BRL | 43.36 BRL | -0.85 | -1.28 | 0 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 54.30 BRL | -2.2% | 51.72 BRL | 43.27 BRL | -0.64 | 5.54 | 2.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 55.50 BRL | 5.3% | 51.47 BRL | 43.15 BRL | -0.48 | 9.32 | 12 | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 52.70 BRL | -4.9% | 51.18 BRL | 43.03 BRL | -0.42 | 1.24 | 2.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 55.41 BRL | -1.1% | 50.93 BRL | 42.94 BRL | -0.17 | 5.09 | 4.5K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 56.04 BRL | 6.8% | 50.58 BRL | 42.83 BRL | 0.04 | 5.88 | 3.5K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 52.49 BRL | -6.0% | 50.15 BRL | 42.71 BRL | 0.23 | -4.33 | 7.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.