UMCN MEX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

UNITED MICRO ELECTRONICS · Technology · Semiconductors

Latest close 327.6 MXN
-6.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 26.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a -29.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 327.6 MXN 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -6.4% latest completed week
4W Return -29.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 84.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 30-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 7.89% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 26.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 57.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -6.4%, after a -29.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -29.1% over four weeks, 84.0% over 12 weeks, and 164.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 30 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-6.4%
4W-29.1%
12W84.0%
26W79.0%
52W164.3%
Active trend streak30 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-67.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership57.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-59.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.

0 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility34.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher4 of 266 weeks finished lower.
Best week+120.8%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-24.2%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week-6.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains0
Flat weeks16
Modest losses3
Sharp losses3
Recent vol34.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol17.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split10/8Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew20.8% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026327.6 MXN-6.4%259.8 MXN164.3 MXN0.3957.6533On
31 Jul 2026350.0 MXN0.0%253.6 MXN163.1 MXN0.7071.360On
24 Jul 2026350.0 MXN-24.2%246.7 MXN161.7 MXN0.9475.889On
17 Jul 2026462.0 MXN0.0%239.8 MXN160.3 MXN1.16135.590On
10 Jul 2026462.0 MXN-1.3%229.2 MXN158.2 MXN1.22143.17331On
3 Jul 2026467.9 MXN-2.6%218.6 MXN156.1 MXN1.25151.850On
26 Jun 2026480.5 MXN23.4%207.5 MXN154.0 MXN1.34165.890On
19 Jun 2026389.3 MXN5.5%196.0 MXN151.8 MXN1.40120.970On
12 Jun 2026369.1 MXN4.2%187.6 MXN150.3 MXN0.93113.7480On
5 Jun 2026354.4 MXN-9.8%179.8 MXN148.9 MXN0.42115.55105On
29 May 2026393.0 MXN120.8%172.2 MXN147.6 MXN-0.13135.71405On
22 May 2026178.0 MXN0.0%163.3 MXN146.0 MXN-0.619.950On
15 May 2026178.0 MXN0.0%161.5 MXN145.8 MXN-0.5410.630On
8 May 2026178.0 MXN0.0%159.8 MXN145.6 MXN-0.427.750On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context