- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
FER
NASDAQ
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ferrovial SE · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
66.51 USD
2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a 3.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 31/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
42
out of 100
Latest Close
66.51 USD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.5%.
Indicator stack
48/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
31/100 conviction; expected move 4.7%.
News sentiment
53/100
32 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a 3.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4312-week average 0.46
12-week confirmation
Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.5% over four weeks, 1.4% over 12 weeks, and 29.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-827.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength16/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Value5/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Quality87/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 14; rank 1 is best.
Momentum34/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Growth10/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 74.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 32.6x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 5.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 90.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 11.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 33.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 8.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 6.9% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -80.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 66.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.9% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
FER shows bullish options pressure with a 31/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.16, expected move of 4.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction31/100
Expected move4.7%
Put/call volume0.16
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
6 positive · 24 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move4.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.2%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank42 / 100
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth53.0%
Trend53.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Engineering & Construction
4-week rank18 / 47
Group average-2.7%
Trend breadth31.9%
Trend31.9%active weekly trend signals
MD34.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.43; No reversal markers Factors35/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 30 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options37/100FER shows bullish options pressure with a 31/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.16, expected move of 4.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 4.7% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.
Ferrovial N.V. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:FER) 2026-08-01 Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
Research flow3 items0 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 66.51 USD | 2.2% | 67.23 USD | 47.75 USD | -0.70 | -9.69 | 7.2M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 65.10 USD | 2.9% | 67.20 USD | 47.52 USD | -0.74 | -7.07 | 12.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 63.25 USD | -0.5% | 67.16 USD | 47.31 USD | -0.76 | -9.15 | 6.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 63.59 USD | -1.1% | 67.21 USD | 47.08 USD | -0.40 | -10.12 | 5.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 64.28 USD | -5.1% | 67.28 USD | 46.86 USD | -0.08 | -12.96 | 7.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 67.72 USD | -0.9% | 67.34 USD | 46.63 USD | 0.15 | -6.72 | 6.1M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 68.36 USD | -1.2% | 67.26 USD | 46.38 USD | 0.14 | -5.01 | 8.5M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 69.22 USD | 1.9% | 67.16 USD | 46.13 USD | -0.10 | -8.12 | 7.6M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 67.94 USD | 1.7% | 66.91 USD | 45.98 USD | -0.29 | -7.42 | 9.6M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 66.81 USD | -1.8% | 66.75 USD | 45.84 USD | -0.50 | -6.88 | 9.8M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 68.01 USD | 0.8% | 66.61 USD | 45.70 USD | -0.49 | -9.49 | 5.2M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 67.48 USD | 2.9% | 66.38 USD | 45.55 USD | -0.45 | -7.68 | 7.4M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 65.60 USD | -5.0% | 66.25 USD | 45.41 USD | -0.43 | -9.29 | 7.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 69.06 USD | 2.1% | 66.14 USD | 45.27 USD | -0.31 | -4.86 | 7.5M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.