TCW TOR Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Trican Well Service Ltd. · Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

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Latest close 6.00 CAD
1.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a -8.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 45/100.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 6.00 CAD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 1.4% latest completed week
4W Return -8.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -23.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 90.4% 47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.46% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -8.5%. Indicator stack 50/39 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.46% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 45/100 16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a -8.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4012-week average 0.69

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.5% over four weeks, -23.4% over 12 weeks, and 5.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.4%
4W-8.5%
12W-23.4%
26W-16.5%
52W5.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.76Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change32.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-16.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-138.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value96/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth38/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework90/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
14.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-8.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
31.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

1 positive · 11 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.9%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-12.6%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+1.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape47/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis38/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.40; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.46%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.46% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors75/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 8; Small Cap Core rank 6 SVQF90/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 32.5 of 304 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.

Trican Well Service Ltd. (TSE:TCW) Receives Consensus Recommendation of "Moderate Buy" from Brokerages Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20266.00 CAD1.4%6.93 CAD5.01 CAD-0.76-16.705.3MOff
31 Jul 20265.92 CAD-11.0%6.93 CAD5.00 CAD-0.79-15.458.1MOff
24 Jul 20266.65 CAD-0.4%6.93 CAD4.99 CAD-0.91-5.732.7MOff
17 Jul 20266.68 CAD1.8%6.90 CAD4.97 CAD-1.13-5.092.0MOff
10 Jul 20266.56 CAD-2.1%6.86 CAD4.95 CAD-1.12-7.013.0MOff
3 Jul 20266.70 CAD1.1%6.84 CAD4.93 CAD-1.04-5.06199.8KOn
26 Jun 20266.63 CAD-5.2%6.82 CAD4.90 CAD-0.80-5.37486.0KOn
19 Jun 20266.99 CAD-4.4%6.80 CAD4.88 CAD-0.540.05379.3KOn
12 Jun 20267.32 CAD-1.6%6.76 CAD4.86 CAD-0.275.10239.7KOn
5 Jun 20267.43 CAD0.4%6.69 CAD4.83 CAD-0.068.84822.1KOn
29 May 20267.40 CAD-7.4%6.63 CAD4.80 CAD-0.227.842.1MOn
22 May 20268.00 CAD2.2%6.55 CAD4.77 CAD-0.3218.162.1MOn
15 May 20267.83 CAD16.9%6.48 CAD4.74 CAD-0.4218.684.2MOn
8 May 20266.70 CAD-6.1%6.39 CAD4.71 CAD-0.521.462.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context