- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
SGER
JKT
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Sumber Global Energy Tbk · Energy · Thermal Coal
Latest close
474.0 IDR
-2.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a 16.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 62/100.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
474.0 IDR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
16.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
37.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.44% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 16.7%.
Indicator stack
33/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.44%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
62/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.9%, after a 16.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3212-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.32Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 16.7% over four weeks, 37.8% over 12 weeks, and 37.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change576.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership33.92Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change15.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment62/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 19 relevant articles.
5 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility21.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+69.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-20.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-2.9%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses7
Recent vol21.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.8% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Energy
4-week rank14 / 56
Group average12.9%
Trend breadth14.3%
Trend14.3%active weekly trend signals
MD39.3%positive activity pressure
RS64.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Thermal Coal
4-week rank9 / 33
Group average14.6%
Trend breadth12.1%
Trend12.1%active weekly trend signals
MD36.4%positive activity pressure
RS57.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape55/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis37/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 9/12.
Activity pressure 0.32; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.44%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.44% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment62/100Weighted news tone is positive across 19 relevant articles.
European stocks pause near record highs as earnings optimism offsets energy supply concerns Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 474.0 IDR | -2.9% | 423.1 IDR | 426.7 IDR | 1.23 | 33.92 | 130.7M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 488.0 IDR | 10.4% | 422.5 IDR | 424.5 IDR | 1.14 | 43.12 | 104.9M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 442.0 IDR | -3.5% | 420.2 IDR | 422.2 IDR | 0.90 | 32.05 | 88.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 458.0 IDR | 12.8% | 419.1 IDR | 420.3 IDR | 0.58 | 38.46 | 120.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 406.0 IDR | -0.5% | 417.5 IDR | 418.1 IDR | 0.18 | 29.27 | 81.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 408.0 IDR | 9.7% | 418.2 IDR | 416.3 IDR | -0.09 | 32.00 | 12.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 372.0 IDR | -3.6% | 418.5 IDR | 414.5 IDR | -0.64 | 20.85 | 690.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 386.0 IDR | -4.9% | 419.7 IDR | 412.9 IDR | -1.03 | 20.35 | 4.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 406.0 IDR | 69.2% | 421.5 IDR | 411.2 IDR | -1.36 | 30.81 | 48.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 240.0 IDR | -20.5% | 423.5 IDR | 409.3 IDR | -1.68 | -16.36 | 656.6K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 302.0 IDR | 2.0% | 432.1 IDR | 408.5 IDR | -1.53 | -4.12 | 10.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 296.0 IDR | -14.0% | 440.7 IDR | 407.3 IDR | -1.46 | -6.56 | 15.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 344.0 IDR | -7.0% | 446.7 IDR | 406.3 IDR | -1.36 | -0.52 | 10.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 370.0 IDR | -1.6% | 448.9 IDR | 405.0 IDR | -1.25 | 3.29 | 20.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.