- The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
8411
TAI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Kingcan Holdings Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
12.80 TWD
-3.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.8%, after a 4.0% four-week move.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
12.80 TWD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
7.7%
4 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.88% based on similar historical setup states.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.0%.
Indicator stack
18/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.88%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 77.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.8%, after a 4.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4612-week average 0.29
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.46Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.0% over four weeks, 5.8% over 12 weeks, and -0.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year4
Trend breadth7.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change529.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.05Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change24.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment-
No current sentiment snapshot is stored.
Patient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-3.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Latest week-3.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks5
Modest losses10
Sharp losses0
Recent vol2.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol1.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.6% / -1.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTW Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth43.0%
Trend43.0%active weekly trend signals
MD81.0%positive activity pressure
RS1.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTW Packaging & Containers
4-week rank2 / 8
Group average1.1%
Trend breadth75.0%
Trend75.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape44/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 44/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis46/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.46; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.88%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.88% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.
Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 12.80 TWD | -3.8% | 12.21 TWD | 13.21 TWD | 1.35 | -25.05 | 722.3K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 13.30 TWD | 1.5% | 12.19 TWD | 13.22 TWD | 1.19 | -21.14 | 572.9K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 13.10 TWD | 5.6% | 12.15 TWD | 13.23 TWD | 1.05 | -24.18 | 604.7K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 12.40 TWD | 0.8% | 12.12 TWD | 13.25 TWD | 0.44 | -27.47 | 844.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 12.30 TWD | 0.4% | 12.11 TWD | 13.26 TWD | 0.21 | -33.19 | 229.6K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 12.25 TWD | 4.2% | 12.10 TWD | 13.28 TWD | 0.26 | -36.39 | 677.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11.76 TWD | -2.5% | 12.10 TWD | 13.29 TWD | 0.07 | -36.82 | 468.0K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 12.05 TWD | -0.4% | 12.13 TWD | 13.31 TWD | 0.44 | -38.75 | 845.2K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 12.10 TWD | 0.8% | 12.14 TWD | 13.33 TWD | 0.24 | -36.24 | 969.4K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 12.00 TWD | -0.8% | 12.15 TWD | 13.34 TWD | 0.20 | -38.88 | 603.9K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 12.10 TWD | 1.7% | 12.17 TWD | 13.36 TWD | 0.46 | -38.84 | 670.4K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 11.91 TWD | -1.6% | 12.19 TWD | 13.38 TWD | 0.49 | -37.23 | 335.2K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 12.10 TWD | -0.4% | 12.21 TWD | 13.39 TWD | 0.62 | -35.34 | 424.9K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 12.15 TWD | 0.0% | 12.23 TWD | 13.41 TWD | 0.69 | -36.66 | 489.1K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.