NCEW NASDAQ Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares · Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

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Latest close 16.12 USD
3.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a -0.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 43/100.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 16.12 USD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 3.3% latest completed week
4W Return -0.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 5.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 28-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -0.5%. Indicator stack 75/23 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.81% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 43/100 34 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.3%, after a -0.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 5.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8212-week average 0.95

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.82Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.5% over four weeks, 2.3% over 12 weeks, and 160.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 28 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.3%
4W-0.5%
12W2.3%
26W112.4%
52W160.0%
Active trend streak28 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.64Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-198.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership48.41Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-17.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 71%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength50/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Value50/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
Quality47/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Momentum49/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 52; rank 1 is best.
Growth50/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 51; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
9.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-0.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
0.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-189.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-7.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-162.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-9.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-9.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment43/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.

3 positive · 17 neutral · 14 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.8%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week+3.3%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses5
Recent vol8.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.1% / -8.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape66/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 66/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis77/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.82; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.81%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.81% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors48/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 86; Small Cap Core rank 54 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment43/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.

New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Revenue Breakdown – NASDAQ:NCEW Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 202616.12 USD3.3%13.59 USD10.52 USD-0.6448.41102.8KOn
31 Jul 202615.60 USD-7.1%13.27 USD10.45 USD-0.6153.191.3KOn
24 Jul 202616.80 USD-1.8%12.96 USD10.39 USD-0.4168.6633.6KOn
17 Jul 202617.10 USD5.6%12.59 USD10.31 USD-0.0971.832.3KOn
10 Jul 202616.20 USD0.6%12.19 USD10.23 USD0.6558.6412.6KOn
3 Jul 202616.10 USD-10.5%11.81 USD10.16 USD1.3762.5214.0KOn
26 Jun 202617.99 USD-10.1%11.41 USD10.08 USD2.1285.482.6KOn
19 Jun 202620.00 USD1.4%10.95 USD9.98 USD2.66100.033.9KOn
12 Jun 202619.73 USD-4.7%10.40 USD9.86 USD2.86106.137.5KOn
5 Jun 202620.70 USD9.4%9.84 USD9.73 USD2.98125.018.2KOn
29 May 202618.93 USD-0.5%9.28 USD9.58 USD3.0299.6114.4KOn
22 May 202619.02 USD20.8%8.79 USD9.46 USD2.98109.2130.9KOn
15 May 202615.75 USD-3.1%8.30 USD9.33 USD2.9177.8215.6KOn
8 May 202616.25 USD1.3%7.92 USD9.24 USD2.8584.2414.5KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context