CHI NZE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Channel Infrastructure NZ Limited · Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Latest close 3.38 NZD
-0.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a 4.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 80 out of 100
Latest Close 3.38 NZD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.9% latest completed week
4W Return 4.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 106-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.9%, after a 4.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.98

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.6% over four weeks, 6.6% over 12 weeks, and 69.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 106 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.9%
4W4.6%
12W6.6%
26W22.5%
52W69.4%
Active trend streak106 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.59Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change421.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

1 positive · 3 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.9%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-5.2%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-0.9%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains11
Flat weeks1
Modest losses6
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/17Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorNZ Energy
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average4.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

IndustryNZ Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average4.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20263.38 NZD-0.9%3.05 NZD1.97 NZD0.5915.461.5MOn
31 Jul 20263.41 NZD0.3%3.03 NZD1.96 NZD0.4018.511.2MOn
24 Jul 20263.40 NZD4.3%3.01 NZD1.94 NZD0.1318.521.5MOn
17 Jul 20263.26 NZD0.9%2.99 NZD1.93 NZD0.0415.281.3MOn
10 Jul 20263.23 NZD2.5%2.98 NZD1.92 NZD0.1114.341.0MOn
3 Jul 20263.15 NZD-4.3%2.96 NZD1.91 NZD0.0713.64134.3KOn
26 Jun 20263.29 NZD1.9%2.95 NZD1.89 NZD0.2220.57360.6KOn
19 Jun 20263.23 NZD5.9%2.92 NZD1.88 NZD0.3219.241.3MOn
12 Jun 20263.05 NZD-2.6%2.90 NZD1.87 NZD0.5814.30398.1KOn
5 Jun 20263.13 NZD-0.9%2.88 NZD1.86 NZD0.9120.17152.4KOn
29 May 20263.16 NZD-5.1%2.86 NZD1.84 NZD0.9621.482.4MOn
22 May 20263.33 NZD5.0%2.84 NZD1.83 NZD0.8231.482.8MOn
15 May 20263.17 NZD2.3%2.82 NZD1.82 NZD0.4626.642.5MOn
8 May 20263.10 NZD3.3%2.79 NZD1.81 NZD0.0423.012.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context