- The trend backdrop is active with a 54-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
JYC
ASX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Joyce Corporation Ltd · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Latest close
6.50 AUD
1.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive trend
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 10.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
74
out of 100
Latest Close
6.50 AUD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
10.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
11.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 10.2%.
Indicator stack
100/75
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
3 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 10.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9012-week average 0.86
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.90Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 10.2% over four weeks, 11.7% over 12 weeks, and 44.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 54 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak54 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change209.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change24.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality97/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework89/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 26.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 13.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 54.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 13.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 16.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 61.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -17.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 31.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.6% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-3.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-5.3%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+1.6%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks2
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -1.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank21 / 91
Group average3.9%
Trend breadth19.8%
Trend19.8%active weekly trend signals
MD71.4%positive activity pressure
RS25.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Specialty Retail
4-week rank2 / 16
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth6.3%
Trend6.2%active weekly trend signals
MD87.5%positive activity pressure
RS6.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape74/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 74/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis68/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.90; 5 reversal markers Factors95/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 57; Small Cap Core rank 23 SVQF89/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 28.5 of 257 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.
Insights: Joyce Corporation Ltd (ASX:JYC) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 6.50 AUD | 1.6% | 5.79 AUD | 4.22 AUD | 0.48 | 12.62 | 107.2K | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 6.40 AUD | 6.7% | 5.74 AUD | 4.19 AUD | 0.07 | 15.10 | 711.4K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6.00 AUD | -0.2% | 5.71 AUD | 4.16 AUD | -0.35 | 11.11 | 55.0K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6.01 AUD | 1.9% | 5.68 AUD | 4.14 AUD | -0.43 | 11.62 | 35.8K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5.90 AUD | -2.3% | 5.65 AUD | 4.11 AUD | -0.44 | 10.13 | 17.7K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6.04 AUD | -0.2% | 5.63 AUD | 4.09 AUD | -0.36 | 12.86 | 90 | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6.05 AUD | 0.0% | 5.61 AUD | 4.06 AUD | -0.27 | 14.77 | 1.7K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.05 AUD | 0.2% | 5.59 AUD | 4.03 AUD | -0.27 | 14.58 | 24.6K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.04 AUD | 0.0% | 5.55 AUD | 4.01 AUD | -0.45 | 15.37 | 8.7K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.04 AUD | 3.1% | 5.52 AUD | 3.98 AUD | -0.27 | 18.51 | 23.9K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.86 AUD | 6.4% | 5.48 AUD | 3.96 AUD | 0.05 | 14.35 | 4.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.51 AUD | -5.3% | 5.46 AUD | 3.93 AUD | 0.30 | 9.00 | 3.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.82 AUD | -2.5% | 5.45 AUD | 3.91 AUD | 0.76 | 15.96 | 40.4K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.97 AUD | 1.2% | 5.42 AUD | 3.89 AUD | 0.94 | 17.95 | 58.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.