Composite setup radar
22
Risk-first tape
BUE Equity Snapshot
FNMA Weekly Equity Report
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOC
Latest Close
10,700 ARS
12 Jun 2026
1W Return
1.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-13.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
Company Brief
What the company does
Federal National Mortgage Association provides financing solutions for residential mortgages in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Single-Family and Multifamily. It offers mortgage acquisitions and securitizations; and credit risk and loss management services. The company also engages in mortgage securitization transactions, including lender swap, portfolio securitization, and structured securitization transactions; and credit risk and loss management services. Federal National Mortgage Association was incorporated in 1938 and is based in Washington, District Of Columbia.
Snapshot
What the weekly tape is saying
FNMA closed the latest completed week at 10,700 ARS. The 4-week return is -13.0% and the 12-week return is 13.8%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.05. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 22/100 composite read.
Trend Signal
Inactive
Market Dynamics
No fresh buy
Price vs Trend
-20.8%
Volume
0.4x
Setup Cockpit
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
Trend
28
Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum
33
Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics
52
Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength
0
Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume
17
Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control
0
Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.
16-week signal tape
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
Weekly return bar
Trend Signal dot
Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
Price map
- Trend Line
- 13,514 ARS
- Vs Trend Line
- -20.8%
- Fair Value
- 5,987 ARS
- Vs Fair Value
- 78.7%
- 52W High
- 69,000 ARS
- 52W Low
- 7,400 ARS
- Drawdown
- -84.5%
- Range Position
- 5.4%
Momentum
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 0 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 26
- 52W Active Breadth
- 50.0%
- Sector Scope
- AR Financial Services
- Sector Rank
- 21 of 44
- Sector Percentile
- 53.5%
Peer Context
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
AR Financial Services
- Tracked Peers
- 44
- 4W Rank
- 43 of 44
- Avg 1W
- 2.9%
- Avg 4W
- 7.0%
- Trend Breadth
- 31.8%
- Positive MD
- 63.6%
AR Mortgage Finance
- Tracked Peers
- 1
- 4W Rank
- 1 of 1
- Avg 1W
- 1.9%
- Avg 4W
- -13.0%
- Trend Breadth
- 0.0%
- Positive RS
- 0.0%
Market Dynamics
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Market Dynamics
Relative Strength
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.05
- 4W MD Change
- 39.0%
- Relative Strength
- -49.36
- 4W RS Change
- -66.9%
- Expectation
- Undecided
- Probability
- 45.84%
Volume
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 316
- 13W Average
- 778
- 52W Average
- 542
- Vs 13W
- 0.4x
- Vs 52W
- 0.6x
Risk Anatomy
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 16.9%
- 52W Volatility
- 14.9%
- Upside Weeks
- 22
- Downside Weeks
- 22
- Downside Breadth
- 42.3%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 12.1% / -10.5%
Context
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- BUE
- Country
- AR
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Mortgage Finance
- Currency
- ARS
- Market Cap
- 4362.1B
Opportunity signals
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10,700 ARS | 1.9% | 13,514 ARS | 5,987 ARS | -0.05 | -49.36 | 316 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10,500 ARS | -7.1% | 13,678 ARS | 5,920 ARS | -0.06 | -46.47 | 845 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 11,300 ARS | 2.7% | 13,904 ARS | 5,854 ARS | -0.08 | -44.32 | 275 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 11,000 ARS | -10.6% | 14,078 ARS | 5,784 ARS | -0.08 | -40.09 | 350 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 12,300 ARS | -0.7% | 14,378 ARS | 5,715 ARS | -0.09 | -29.58 | 75 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 12,390 ARS | 4.7% | 14,654 ARS | 5,637 ARS | -0.08 | -30.43 | 98 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 11,830 ARS | 8.5% | 14,975 ARS | 5,559 ARS | -0.06 | -34.96 | 26 | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 10,900 ARS | -7.2% | 15,394 ARS | 5,485 ARS | -0.05 | -40.27 | 156 | Off |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 11,750 ARS | 2.4% | 16,352 ARS | 5,417 ARS | -0.03 | -36.74 | 553 | Off |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 11,470 ARS | -3.6% | 16,894 ARS | 5,343 ARS | -0.02 | -40.53 | 3.6K | Off |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 11,900 ARS | 52.6% | 17,282 ARS | 5,271 ARS | -0.03 | -38.36 | 2.4K | Off |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 7,800 ARS | -17.0% | 17,445 ARS | 5,196 ARS | -0.79 | -56.67 | 1.1K | Off |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 9,400 ARS | -18.3% | 17,665 ARS | 5,148 ARS | -0.76 | -46.64 | 397 | Off |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 11,500 ARS | -4.2% | 17,828 ARS | 5,089 ARS | -0.76 | -31.99 | 20 | Off |