- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
FNMA
BUE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOC · Financial Services · Mortgage Finance
Latest close
9,700 ARS
-3.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a -11.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
25
out of 100
Latest Close
9,700 ARS
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
-11.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
34.6%
18 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.93% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move -11.8%.
Indicator stack
19/50
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 44.93%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -17.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.0%, after a -11.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1812-week average 0.11
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -11.8% over four weeks, -21.1% over 12 weeks, and -24.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year18
Trend breadth34.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-46.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
1 positive · 13 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-85.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+52.6%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-18.3%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-3.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks3
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol14.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.5% / -9.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAR Financial Services
4-week rank39 / 44
Group average1.8%
Trend breadth68.2%
Trend68.2%active weekly trend signals
MD86.4%positive activity pressure
RS45.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAR Mortgage Finance
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-11.8%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape27/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 27/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis12/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.93%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.93% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.
Is Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA) Undervalued Following Strong Second Quarter Results? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 9,700 ARS | -3.0% | 11,798 ARS | 6,517 ARS | -0.06 | -46.79 | 269 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 10,000 ARS | 2.1% | 12,074 ARS | 6,456 ARS | -0.07 | -48.96 | 707 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 9,790 ARS | -11.0% | 12,341 ARS | 6,393 ARS | -0.08 | -50.18 | 63 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 11,000 ARS | 0.0% | 12,567 ARS | 6,332 ARS | -0.08 | -42.92 | 0 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 11,000 ARS | 0.0% | 12,727 ARS | 6,263 ARS | -0.07 | -44.82 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 11,000 ARS | 0.1% | 12,960 ARS | 6,194 ARS | -0.06 | -43.93 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 10,990 ARS | -0.1% | 13,163 ARS | 6,125 ARS | -0.08 | -43.17 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 11,000 ARS | 2.8% | 13,357 ARS | 6,056 ARS | -0.08 | -46.49 | 127 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10,700 ARS | 1.9% | 13,514 ARS | 5,987 ARS | -0.08 | -49.36 | 101 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10,500 ARS | -7.1% | 13,678 ARS | 5,920 ARS | -0.08 | -46.47 | 5 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 11,300 ARS | 2.7% | 13,904 ARS | 5,854 ARS | -0.08 | -44.32 | 275 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 11,000 ARS | -10.6% | 14,078 ARS | 5,784 ARS | -0.08 | -40.09 | 350 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 12,300 ARS | -0.7% | 14,378 ARS | 5,715 ARS | -0.09 | -29.58 | 75 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 12,390 ARS | 4.7% | 14,654 ARS | 5,637 ARS | -0.08 | -30.43 | 98 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.