- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
9633
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Nongfu Spring Co., Ltd. · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Latest close
42.30 HKD
-3.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.4%, after a 6.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
42.30 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.90% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.4%.
Indicator stack
21/47
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 41.90%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
7 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 19.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.4%, after a 6.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0312-week average 0.04
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.03Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.4% over four weeks, -0.5% over 12 weeks, and -6.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change48.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-8.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
3 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.7%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-6.2%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-3.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Consumer Defensive
4-week rank31 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth8.0%
Trend8.0%active weekly trend signals
MD36.0%positive activity pressure
RS18.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
4-week rank4 / 10
Group average6.5%
Trend breadth10.0%
Trend10.0%active weekly trend signals
MD30.0%positive activity pressure
RS10.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.03; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.90%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.90% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.
BRIEF: Nongfu Spring profit jumps as revenue tops 50 billion yuan Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 42.30 HKD | -3.4% | 44.12 HKD | 39.83 HKD | -0.37 | -8.44 | 29.8M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 43.78 HKD | 9.7% | 44.23 HKD | 39.82 HKD | -0.58 | -6.20 | 55.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 39.90 HKD | -5.5% | 44.34 HKD | 39.81 HKD | -0.91 | -11.45 | 48.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 42.22 HKD | 6.2% | 44.58 HKD | 39.82 HKD | -0.82 | -4.96 | 29.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 39.74 HKD | -4.6% | 44.72 HKD | 39.81 HKD | -0.71 | -9.08 | 42.0M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 41.66 HKD | -2.1% | 44.92 HKD | 39.81 HKD | -0.49 | -1.24 | 6.3M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 42.54 HKD | 1.6% | 45.09 HKD | 39.80 HKD | -0.46 | 4.02 | 6.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 41.86 HKD | -5.0% | 45.25 HKD | 39.79 HKD | -0.37 | -2.73 | 17.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 44.06 HKD | 4.5% | 45.49 HKD | 39.77 HKD | -0.41 | -0.74 | 6.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 42.18 HKD | -1.4% | 45.78 HKD | 39.75 HKD | -0.55 | -5.71 | 6.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 42.80 HKD | 0.5% | 46.09 HKD | 39.74 HKD | -0.33 | -5.09 | 57.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 42.60 HKD | 0.2% | 46.33 HKD | 39.72 HKD | -0.39 | -7.00 | 35.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 42.52 HKD | -5.4% | 46.67 HKD | 39.69 HKD | -0.38 | -8.30 | 34.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 44.96 HKD | -1.4% | 46.98 HKD | 39.67 HKD | -0.33 | -4.56 | 22.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.