9858 HKG Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

China Youran Dairy Group Limited · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Latest close 4.07 HKD
-4.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.7%, after a 31.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 4.07 HKD 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -4.7% latest completed week
4W Return 31.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 20.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 51.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.7%, after a 31.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1012-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 31.3% over four weeks, 20.1% over 12 weeks, and 9.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.7%
4W31.3%
12W20.1%
26W-21.1%
52W9.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.68Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change161.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership5.49Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change137.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.

0 positive · 10 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-14.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-4.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.3% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20264.07 HKD-4.7%3.93 HKD2.41 HKD0.685.49174.0MOff
31 Jul 20264.27 HKD15.4%3.96 HKD2.40 HKD0.199.87212.6MOff
24 Jul 20263.70 HKD11.1%3.98 HKD2.38 HKD-0.42-1.05132.0MOff
17 Jul 20263.33 HKD7.4%4.03 HKD2.37 HKD-0.90-9.39109.3MOff
10 Jul 20263.10 HKD4.0%4.07 HKD2.36 HKD-1.10-14.4972.9MOff
3 Jul 20262.98 HKD3.5%4.11 HKD2.35 HKD-1.21-15.0817.0MOff
26 Jun 20262.88 HKD-8.0%4.15 HKD2.34 HKD-1.32-15.2722.2MOff
19 Jun 20263.13 HKD-3.7%4.20 HKD2.33 HKD-1.35-12.53135.4MOff
12 Jun 20263.25 HKD9.8%4.21 HKD2.32 HKD-1.40-11.8125.6MOff
5 Jun 20262.96 HKD0.3%4.22 HKD2.32 HKD-1.28-20.2720.5MOff
29 May 20262.95 HKD-3.6%4.24 HKD2.31 HKD-1.15-21.2879.7MOff
22 May 20263.06 HKD-9.7%4.25 HKD2.30 HKD-1.07-19.67138.8MOff
15 May 20263.39 HKD-14.0%4.25 HKD2.29 HKD-1.02-12.05215.2MOff
8 May 20263.94 HKD2.1%4.23 HKD2.28 HKD-1.040.9847.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context