- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
1432
HKG
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
China Shengmu Organic Milk Limited · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Latest close
0.42 HKD
20.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 22.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 62.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 20.0%, after a 29.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 46/100.
Setup score
61
out of 100
Latest Close
0.42 HKD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
20.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
29.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
25.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
53.8%
28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 32.43% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
20.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 29.2%.
Indicator stack
30/94
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 32.43%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
46/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 22.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 62.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 20.0%, after a 29.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1912-week average 0.22
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 29.2% over four weeks, 25.4% over 12 weeks, and 6.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.95Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change335.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership22.13Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change1880.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment46/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
1 positive · 6 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher8 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-4.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+20.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains4
Flat weeks9
Modest losses8
Sharp losses1
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.0% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorHK Consumer Defensive
4-week rank6 / 100
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth8.0%
Trend8.0%active weekly trend signals
MD36.0%positive activity pressure
RS18.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryHK Farm Products
4-week rank3 / 15
Group average4.9%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD40.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape55/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 32.43%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 32.43% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment46/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
China Shengmu Warns of Public Float Shortfall and Potential Delisting Risk Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.42 HKD | 20.0% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | 0.95 | 22.13 | 54.5M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.35 HKD | 1.4% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | 0.55 | 1.00 | 58.3M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.34 HKD | 0.0% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | 0.25 | 3.42 | 48.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.34 HKD | 6.2% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -0.13 | 5.35 | 39.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.33 HKD | -3.0% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -0.40 | 1.12 | 49.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.34 HKD | 1.5% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -0.46 | 8.14 | 5.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.33 HKD | -1.5% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -0.69 | 10.30 | 12.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.34 HKD | 0.0% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -0.77 | 6.77 | 9.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.34 HKD | 1.5% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -0.94 | 3.73 | 1.7M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.33 HKD | 0.0% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -0.99 | 1.48 | 6.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.33 HKD | 1.5% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -0.95 | 0.87 | 28.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.33 HKD | -3.0% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -1.02 | -1.62 | 127.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.34 HKD | -1.5% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -1.10 | 0.77 | 84.6M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.34 HKD | 6.3% | 0.34 HKD | 0.26 HKD | -1.21 | 1.38 | 63.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.