- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.24% based on similar historical setup states.
ONGC
NSI
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Latest close
238.9 INR
-1.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -2.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
238.9 INR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-20.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.5%.
Indicator stack
33/35
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.24%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
9 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -2.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1612-week average 0.56
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.5% over four weeks, -20.2% over 12 weeks, and 7.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.94Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change22.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3820.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength100/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Value100/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework99/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 7.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 11.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 33.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 20.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 18.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -0.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 14.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 66.9% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 5.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 5.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
2 positive · 5 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-22.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.2%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-8.5%Week of 29 May.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Energy
4-week rank33 / 37
Group average7.0%
Trend breadth59.5%
Trend59.5%active weekly trend signals
MD62.2%positive activity pressure
RS70.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Oil & Gas Integrated
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD0.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape40/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 8/12.
Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.24%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.24% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors92/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 48 SVQF99/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 15.5 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 9 relevant articles.
ONGC awards offshore contracts to L&T Energy Hydrocarbon Offshore Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 238.9 INR | -1.5% | 264.8 INR | 235.3 INR | -0.94 | -4.46 | 62.2M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 242.5 INR | -2.5% | 264.4 INR | 234.7 INR | -0.92 | -2.13 | 63.9M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 248.8 INR | 0.6% | 264.2 INR | 234.1 INR | -1.04 | 3.14 | 50.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 247.3 INR | 1.0% | 263.6 INR | 233.5 INR | -1.14 | 0.39 | 54.5M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 245.0 INR | 3.0% | 262.9 INR | 232.8 INR | -1.21 | 0.12 | 84.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 237.8 INR | 2.0% | 262.5 INR | 232.2 INR | -1.30 | -2.86 | 11.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 233.1 INR | -5.3% | 262.4 INR | 231.6 INR | -1.25 | -3.83 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 246.2 INR | 0.0% | 262.6 INR | 230.9 INR | -1.09 | 1.92 | 7.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 246.2 INR | -7.0% | 262.4 INR | 230.2 INR | -0.81 | 3.73 | 31.1M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 264.8 INR | -0.2% | 262.3 INR | 229.5 INR | -0.29 | 12.93 | 7.5M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 265.4 INR | -8.5% | 261.5 INR | 228.7 INR | -0.04 | 12.82 | 127.0M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 290.0 INR | -3.1% | 260.7 INR | 227.8 INR | 0.55 | 22.88 | 58.0M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 299.4 INR | 7.2% | 259.2 INR | 226.9 INR | 0.77 | 27.97 | 119.8M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 279.2 INR | -6.8% | 257.1 INR | 225.8 INR | 0.81 | 17.47 | 74.0M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.