VIE Equity Snapshot

MRNA Weekly Equity Report

Moderna, Inc.

Latest Close 44.05 EUR 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 4.0% latest completed week
4W Return 6.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Moderna, Inc., a biotechnology company, provides messenger RNA medicines in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company's respiratory vaccines include spikevax, mNEXSPIKE, mRESVIA, COVID, RSV, seasonal influenza, combination, and pandemic influenza vaccine; latent vaccines comprise cytomegalovirus, epstein-barr virus, and human immunodeficiency virus vaccines; enteric viruses include norovirus; public health vaccines consist of Zika, Nipah, and Mpox vaccines; and bacterial diseases vaccines, such as lyme vaccines. It also provides oncology therapeutics, such as intismeran autogene, cancer antigen therapy, t-cell engager, and cell therapy enhancer; and rare disease products, including propionic and methylmalonic acidemia, and cystic …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

MRNA closed the latest completed week at 44.05 EUR. The 4-week return is 6.1% and the 12-week return is -1.7%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.80. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 55/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 17.5%
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 69 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 62 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 25 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 100 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 30 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 46 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
37.49 EUR
Vs Trend Line
17.5%
Fair Value
59.58 EUR
Vs Fair Value
-26.1%
52W High
50.45 EUR
52W Low
19.48 EUR
Drawdown
-12.7%
Range Position
79.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 4.0%
4W 6.1%
12W -1.7%
26W 72.5%
52W 89.3%

Trend read

Active Streak
23 weeks
52W Active Weeks
23
52W Active Breadth
44.2%
Sector Scope
AT Healthcare
Sector Rank
11 of 112
Sector Percentile
91.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.80
4W MD Change
-127.7%
Relative Strength
17.24
4W RS Change
-15.7%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
46.17%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
4.2K
13W Average
6.0K
52W Average
8.2K
Vs 13W
0.7x
Vs 52W
0.5x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
6.6%
52W Volatility
8.1%
Upside Weeks
28
Downside Weeks
24
Downside Breadth
46.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
7.6% / -5.5%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
VIE
Country
AT
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Biotechnology
Currency
EUR
Market Cap
16.0B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 23-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.

Risk signals

  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 44.05 EUR 4.0% 37.49 EUR 59.58 EUR -0.80 17.24 4.2K On
5 Jun 2026 42.35 EUR 4.6% 36.72 EUR 60.04 EUR -0.74 16.58 6.3K On
29 May 2026 40.47 EUR -0.5% 35.99 EUR 60.50 EUR -0.55 10.82 3.0K On
22 May 2026 40.69 EUR -2.0% 35.43 EUR 61.03 EUR -0.49 15.00 4.6K On
15 May 2026 41.52 EUR -11.2% 34.84 EUR 61.52 EUR -0.35 20.46 11.1K On
8 May 2026 46.74 EUR 15.9% 34.21 EUR 62.00 EUR -0.11 36.00 6.6K On
1 May 2026 40.33 EUR -7.8% 33.42 EUR 62.46 EUR 0.06 20.25 3.7K On
24 Apr 2026 43.72 EUR -5.3% 32.87 EUR 62.99 EUR 0.42 31.77 4.0K On
17 Apr 2026 46.15 EUR 3.5% 32.10 EUR 63.48 EUR 0.78 35.04 5.2K On
10 Apr 2026 44.60 EUR 4.9% 31.27 EUR 64.01 EUR 1.01 34.69 3.0K On
3 Apr 2026 42.51 EUR -2.9% 30.50 EUR 64.64 EUR 1.31 37.53 2.8K On
27 Mar 2026 43.77 EUR -2.3% 29.79 EUR 65.29 EUR 1.59 47.53 10.7K On
20 Mar 2026 44.81 EUR -1.4% 29.01 EUR 65.90 EUR 1.68 53.99 13.0K On
13 Mar 2026 45.45 EUR 5.6% 28.30 EUR 66.51 EUR 1.65 55.00 28.0K On