MEX Equity Snapshot

USAR Weekly Equity Report

USA RARE EARTH INC

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 379.0 MXN 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -4.1% latest completed week
4W Return -11.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 17.1% 6 of 35 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

USA Rare Earth, Inc. engages in mining, processing, and supplying rare earths and other critical minerals in the United States, Europe, and Asia. It primarily explores neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, yttrium, gallium, hafnium, praseodymium, samarium, and other critical minerals. The company holds interests in the Round Top Mountain located near Sierra Blanca, Texas. It products are used in aerospace, defense, semiconductors, data centers, physical AI, energy, mobility, healthcare, and numerous industrial sectors. USA Rare Earth, Inc. was founded in 2019 and is based in Stillwater, Oklahoma.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

USAR closed the latest completed week at 379.0 MXN. The 4-week return is -11.5% and the 12-week return is 19.2%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is 1.27. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 37/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 13.3%
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 30 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 41 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 72 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 50 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 28 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
334.6 MXN
Vs Trend Line
13.3%
Fair Value
343.2 MXN
Vs Fair Value
10.4%
52W High
650.0 MXN
52W Low
218.0 MXN
Drawdown
-41.7%
Range Position
37.3%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -4.1%
4W -11.5%
12W 19.2%
26W 59.9%
52W -

Trend read

Active Streak
6 weeks
52W Active Weeks
6
52W Active Breadth
17.1%
Sector Scope
MX Basic Materials
Sector Rank
38 of 53
Sector Percentile
28.8%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
1.27
4W MD Change
-14.6%
Relative Strength
-
4W RS Change
-
Expectation
Negative
Probability
36.54%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
14.4K
13W Average
21.4K
52W Average
8.9K
Vs 13W
0.7x
Vs 52W
1.6x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
10.7%
52W Volatility
13.6%
Upside Weeks
14
Downside Weeks
16
Downside Breadth
47.1%
Avg Gain / Loss
11.8% / -11.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
MEX
Country
MX
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Currency
MXN
Market Cap
116.4B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Market Dynamics is positive on the latest completed week.

Risk signals

  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 379.0 MXN -4.1% 334.6 MXN 343.2 MXN 1.27 - 14.4K On
5 Jun 2026 395.1 MXN -17.7% 331.2 MXN 342.2 MXN 1.51 - 9.2K On
29 May 2026 480.0 MXN 8.0% 328.5 MXN 340.6 MXN 1.69 - 30.5K On
22 May 2026 444.4 MXN 3.8% 324.9 MXN 336.2 MXN 1.61 - 20.7K On
15 May 2026 428.2 MXN -6.1% 324.9 MXN 332.7 MXN 1.49 - 42.0K On
8 May 2026 456.0 MXN -0.3% 329.5 MXN 329.5 MXN 1.22 - 33.0K On
1 May 2026 457.2 MXN 19.1% - 325.2 MXN 0.79 - 7.3K Off
24 Apr 2026 384.0 MXN 12.9% - 320.5 MXN - - 80.5K Off
17 Apr 2026 340.0 MXN 15.3% - 318.1 MXN - - 36.0K Off
10 Apr 2026 295.0 MXN 1.7% - 317.3 MXN - - 723 Off
3 Apr 2026 290.0 MXN 5.5% - 318.2 MXN - - 29 Off
27 Mar 2026 275.0 MXN -13.5% - 319.3 MXN - - 3.0K Off
20 Mar 2026 318.0 MXN -9.7% - 321.3 MXN - - 415 Off
13 Mar 2026 352.0 MXN 2.0% - 321.4 MXN - - 1.0K Off