VBL NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Varun Beverages Limited · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

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Latest close 442.0 INR
-0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a -7.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 45/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 31 out of 100
Latest Close 442.0 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.1% latest completed week
4W Return -7.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -7.4%. Indicator stack 12/19 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 45/100 31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 37.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.1%, after a -7.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5812-week average 0.64

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.58Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.4% over four weeks, -12.3% over 12 weeks, and -10.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.1%
4W-7.4%
12W-12.3%
26W0.9%
52W-10.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.66Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-244.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.66Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-293.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength22/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Value15/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum32/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
47.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
26.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
0.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
54.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
17.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
7.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
17.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.3%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

8 positive · 19 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.8%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-0.1%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryIN Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

RAMANEWS · NSI13.2%VBL · NSI-7.4%VINCOFE · NSI-8.2%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape31/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 31/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis68/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.58; No reversal markers Factors39/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 69 SVQF36/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 1008.0 of 1576 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment45/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

Samir Arora's Helios Flexicap adds BHEL, InterGlobe in July; exits Varun Beverages, India Shelter Finance Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026442.0 INR-0.1%471.3 INR508.9 INR-0.66-5.6618.6MOff
31 Jul 2026442.3 INR-3.2%472.8 INR508.2 INR-0.37-5.0981.9MOff
24 Jul 2026456.7 INR-1.3%474.5 INR507.5 INR-0.110.2723.2MOff
17 Jul 2026462.8 INR-3.1%475.3 INR506.6 INR0.18-0.7428.4MOn
10 Jul 2026477.6 INR-7.3%475.5 INR505.7 INR0.462.9236.4MOn
3 Jul 2026515.2 INR1.6%475.6 INR504.7 INR0.5410.943.6MOn
26 Jun 2026507.1 INR-4.2%474.3 INR503.5 INR0.5710.540On
19 Jun 2026529.5 INR1.4%473.5 INR502.3 INR0.7116.009.5MOn
12 Jun 2026522.2 INR-0.2%470.7 INR500.8 INR0.8716.742.3MOn
5 Jun 2026523.3 INR-0.9%468.6 INR499.6 INR0.9518.653.2MOn
29 May 2026528.0 INR-2.1%466.8 INR498.3 INR1.0219.2031.2MOn
22 May 2026539.5 INR7.1%464.8 INR497.0 INR1.1421.3140.8MOn
15 May 2026503.8 INR-1.0%462.1 INR495.7 INR1.0214.0218.6MOff
8 May 2026508.9 INR-0.9%460.7 INR494.5 INR0.8912.7820.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context