VINCOFE NSI Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Vintage Coffee and Beverages Limited · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Latest close 148.2 INR
-0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -8.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 57/100.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 148.2 INR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -8.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 3.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.8%, after a -8.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5112-week average 0.24

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.2% over four weeks, 15.9% over 12 weeks, and 4.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.8%
4W-8.2%
12W15.9%
26W1.3%
52W4.2%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-11.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-95.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum71/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework50/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
20.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-6.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
26.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-25.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
79.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
55.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-9.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-9.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.

8 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.7%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-9.1%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-0.8%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryIN Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026148.2 INR-0.8%143.6 INR133.6 INR0.860.578.6MOn
31 Jul 2026149.5 INR-4.3%144.1 INR133.4 INR1.152.2516.8MOn
24 Jul 2026156.2 INR-1.8%144.5 INR133.3 INR1.099.568.1MOn
17 Jul 2026159.1 INR-1.5%144.5 INR133.0 INR1.059.219.4MOff
10 Jul 2026161.6 INR4.7%144.4 INR132.7 INR0.9611.8117.5MOff
3 Jul 2026154.3 INR2.1%144.5 INR132.4 INR0.926.952.3MOff
26 Jun 2026151.2 INR-0.7%145.0 INR132.2 INR0.856.010Off
19 Jun 2026152.2 INR-4.6%145.4 INR131.9 INR0.877.401.3MOff
12 Jun 2026159.4 INR7.0%145.6 INR131.7 INR0.6314.9912.5MOff
5 Jun 2026149.1 INR2.9%146.0 INR131.4 INR0.129.291.1MOff
29 May 2026144.9 INR11.7%146.8 INR131.2 INR-0.075.9511.2MOff
22 May 2026129.7 INR1.4%147.4 INR131.0 INR-0.40-5.439.1MOff
15 May 2026127.8 INR-5.1%147.9 INR131.0 INR-0.67-6.154.8MOff
8 May 2026134.8 INR-0.7%148.5 INR131.1 INR-0.69-2.778.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context