- The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
HGH
NZE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Heartland Group Holdings Limited · Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Latest close
1.21 NZD
-2.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -0.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
64
out of 100
Latest Close
1.21 NZD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-2.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
12.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
82.7%
43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.4%.
Indicator stack
73/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 1.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -0.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8012-week average 0.63
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.4% over four weeks, 12.6% over 12 weeks, and 58.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change2015.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-48.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
6 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.9%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-4.5%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorNZ Financial Services
4-week rank7 / 10
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS60.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryNZ Banks - Regional
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape66/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 66/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis66/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.80; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.
Heartland Group Holdings (ASX:HGH) Dividend Profile in Focus as 4.61% Yield Supports Banking Income Appeal Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 1.21 NZD | -2.8% | 1.19 NZD | 1.06 NZD | 0.37 | 3.86 | 1.9M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.24 NZD | -0.8% | 1.19 NZD | 1.06 NZD | 0.35 | 8.54 | 1.8M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.25 NZD | 2.5% | 1.19 NZD | 1.06 NZD | 0.28 | 9.59 | 2.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.22 NZD | 0.8% | 1.18 NZD | 1.06 NZD | 0.09 | 8.36 | 1.7M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.21 NZD | -1.6% | 1.18 NZD | 1.06 NZD | -0.02 | 7.52 | 1.4M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.23 NZD | 2.1% | 1.17 NZD | 1.07 NZD | -0.12 | 11.35 | 78.7K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.21 NZD | -2.0% | 1.17 NZD | 1.07 NZD | -0.26 | 10.86 | 1.0M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.23 NZD | -0.4% | 1.17 NZD | 1.07 NZD | -0.43 | 14.01 | 790.9K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.24 NZD | 0.4% | 1.16 NZD | 1.07 NZD | -0.71 | 16.11 | 1.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.23 NZD | 7.9% | 1.15 NZD | 1.07 NZD | -0.98 | 18.56 | 760.1K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.14 NZD | 4.6% | 1.15 NZD | 1.07 NZD | -1.18 | 10.12 | 6.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.09 NZD | 1.9% | 1.14 NZD | 1.07 NZD | -1.27 | 8.02 | 4.4M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.07 NZD | -4.5% | 1.14 NZD | 1.07 NZD | -1.28 | 6.92 | 4.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.12 NZD | -1.8% | 1.14 NZD | 1.08 NZD | -1.26 | 10.64 | 3.7M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.