- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
CASP
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Caspian Sunrise plc · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Latest close
0.02 GBP
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 0.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
16
out of 100
Latest Close
0.02 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
0.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-17.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
-
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 0.0%.
Indicator stack
12/15
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 24.98%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
8 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 0.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0712-week average 0.15
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 0.0% over four weeks, -17.4% over 12 weeks, and -11.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.56Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-81.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-6.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 43%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength75/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Value67/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Quality68/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Momentum68/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 2.4x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 14.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 29.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 16.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 6.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.9% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 109.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 56.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
1 positive · 7 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-42.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher4 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.5%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-11.3%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains3
Flat weeks12
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split8/14Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.2% / -5.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Energy
4-week rank53 / 93
Group average3.2%
Trend breadth34.4%
Trend34.4%active weekly trend signals
MD31.2%positive activity pressure
RS24.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Oil & Gas Integrated
4-week rank7 / 7
Group average6.6%
Trend breadth42.9%
Trend42.9%active weekly trend signals
MD28.6%positive activity pressure
RS28.6%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape14/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 14/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis13/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.07; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 24.98%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 24.98% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors69/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 53 SVQF42/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 204.5 of 351 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 8 relevant articles.
Caspian Sunrise PLC Revenue Breakdown – LSE:CASP Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 0.0% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -1.56 | -22.86 | 0 | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 0.0% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -1.49 | -23.04 | 0 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 0.0% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -1.38 | -22.50 | 0 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 0.0% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -1.10 | -21.89 | 0 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 0.0% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.86 | -21.52 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.02 GBP | -2.6% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.70 | -23.23 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.02 GBP | -2.5% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.48 | -20.37 | 3.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.02 GBP | -4.8% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.24 | -17.51 | 170.8K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 0.0% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | 0.03 | -14.64 | 124.5K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.02 GBP | -8.7% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | 0.02 | -14.44 | 3.8M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 2.2% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.15 | -7.31 | 4.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.02 GBP | -2.2% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.49 | -10.41 | 5.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 0.0% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.84 | -6.78 | 1.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.02 GBP | 2.2% | 0.02 GBP | 0.03 GBP | -0.81 | -7.66 | 1.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.