HOMB NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Home BancShares Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 30.98 USD
0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a 5.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 61/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 76d.

Setup score 57 out of 100
Latest Close 30.98 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.5% latest completed week
4W Return 5.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 95.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a 5.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4312-week average 0.14

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.7% over four weeks, 16.8% over 12 weeks, and 11.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.5%
4W5.7%
12W16.8%
26W10.9%
52W11.3%
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.25Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change25.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change262.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength82/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality85/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Momentum33/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Growth28/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework88/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
78.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
43.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
30.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-3.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
10.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

HOMB shows bullish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 5.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction47/100
Expected move5.8%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation3
Volatility39
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity3 / 6

3 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

29 positive · 29 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings76dNext report is scheduled for 14 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-6.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+0.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.0% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202630.98 USD0.5%27.74 USD25.61 USD1.253.349.9MOn
17 Jul 202630.84 USD7.4%27.64 USD25.55 USD1.282.1612.8MOn
10 Jul 202628.72 USD0.1%27.55 USD25.49 USD1.15-6.588.6MOff
3 Jul 202628.68 USD-2.1%27.53 USD25.44 USD1.19-5.808.8MOff
26 Jun 202629.30 USD6.0%27.51 USD25.39 USD1.00-2.0613.5MOff
19 Jun 202627.65 USD-2.1%27.45 USD25.34 USD0.45-10.008.8MOff
12 Jun 202628.25 USD4.2%27.45 USD25.29 USD0.04-7.578.0MOff
5 Jun 202627.12 USD1.3%27.40 USD25.25 USD-0.47-11.067.0MOff
29 May 202626.76 USD0.6%27.39 USD25.21 USD-0.73-14.835.8MOff
22 May 202626.61 USD3.6%27.37 USD25.17 USD-0.73-14.546.9MOff
15 May 202625.68 USD-3.3%27.38 USD25.13 USD-0.65-17.267.9MOff
8 May 202626.54 USD0.1%27.41 USD25.09 USD-0.47-14.836.2MOff
1 May 202626.52 USD1.1%27.39 USD25.04 USD-0.40-13.427.0MOff
24 Apr 202626.25 USD-1.6%27.42 USD24.99 USD-0.48-14.0011.2MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.