HOLM-A STO Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Holmen AB (publ) · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Latest close 322.0 SEK
0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 7.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 322.0 SEK 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 0.6% latest completed week
4W Return 7.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.89% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 37.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.6%, after a 7.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0712-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.07Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.7% over four weeks, 4.9% over 12 weeks, and -11.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.6%
4W7.7%
12W4.9%
26W-5.6%
52W-11.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change129.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.70Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-5.7%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+0.6%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew1.9% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026322.0 SEK0.6%321.1 SEK367.8 SEK0.27-13.7016.5KOff
31 Jul 2026320.0 SEK6.0%321.7 SEK368.0 SEK-0.22-13.1445.2KOff
24 Jul 2026302.0 SEK0.7%322.4 SEK368.4 SEK-0.78-17.3674.2KOff
17 Jul 2026300.0 SEK0.3%323.5 SEK368.8 SEK-0.88-17.1737.9KOff
10 Jul 2026299.0 SEK-1.0%324.7 SEK369.2 SEK-0.90-18.8010.3KOff
3 Jul 2026302.0 SEK-0.7%325.9 SEK369.7 SEK-1.00-20.342.1KOff
26 Jun 2026304.0 SEK-1.3%327.0 SEK370.1 SEK-1.03-18.11559Off
19 Jun 2026308.0 SEK1.0%328.1 SEK370.4 SEK-1.06-18.286.3KOff
12 Jun 2026305.0 SEK-2.9%329.0 SEK370.8 SEK-1.15-18.09752Off
5 Jun 2026314.0 SEK0.3%330.1 SEK371.2 SEK-1.12-16.42223Off
29 May 2026313.0 SEK0.6%330.9 SEK371.7 SEK-1.08-17.946.1KOff
22 May 2026311.0 SEK1.3%332.0 SEK372.2 SEK-0.91-19.375.1KOff
15 May 2026307.0 SEK-1.6%333.0 SEK372.7 SEK-0.73-18.286.5KOff
8 May 2026312.0 SEK-1.0%334.1 SEK373.2 SEK-0.52-18.684.8KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context