- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BILL
STO
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Billerud AB (publ) · Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Latest close
76.95 SEK
1.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 22.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
46
out of 100
Latest Close
76.95 SEK
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
22.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
24.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
3.8%
2 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 22.5%.
Indicator stack
2/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
50/100
4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a 22.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1212-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.12Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 22.5% over four weeks, 24.7% over 12 weeks, and -10.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year2
Trend breadth3.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1316.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change55.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.4%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-12.3%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorSE Basic Materials
4-week rank6 / 47
Group average6.7%
Trend breadth31.9%
Trend31.9%active weekly trend signals
MD55.3%positive activity pressure
RS27.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustrySE Paper & Paper Products
4-week rank1 / 7
Group average11.4%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.12; No reversal markers Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.
BILL Holdings (BILL) Stock May Be Undervalued As Growth Questions Linger Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 76.95 SEK | 1.3% | 70.63 SEK | 88.51 SEK | 1.16 | -12.06 | 2.0M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 75.95 SEK | 5.6% | 71.16 SEK | 88.52 SEK | 0.85 | -12.07 | 2.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 71.90 SEK | 4.7% | 71.70 SEK | 88.55 SEK | 0.53 | -16.03 | 2.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 68.70 SEK | 9.4% | 72.26 SEK | 88.62 SEK | 0.23 | -19.01 | 2.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 62.80 SEK | -2.4% | 72.95 SEK | 88.67 SEK | -0.10 | -27.20 | 1.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 64.35 SEK | -0.1% | 73.74 SEK | 88.77 SEK | -0.41 | -27.86 | 332.7K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 64.40 SEK | 4.0% | 74.60 SEK | 88.85 SEK | -0.73 | -26.56 | 662.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 61.95 SEK | 1.1% | 75.47 SEK | 88.93 SEK | -0.96 | -30.78 | 3.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 61.30 SEK | -2.5% | 76.28 SEK | 89.01 SEK | -1.16 | -31.02 | 448.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 62.90 SEK | 2.6% | 77.10 SEK | 89.13 SEK | -1.13 | -30.17 | 574.8K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 61.30 SEK | -2.1% | 77.82 SEK | 89.26 SEK | -1.02 | -33.28 | 9.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 62.64 SEK | 1.5% | 78.62 SEK | 89.39 SEK | -1.05 | -32.92 | 2.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 61.72 SEK | -4.3% | 79.45 SEK | 89.52 SEK | -0.97 | -32.47 | 1.8M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 64.48 SEK | 5.6% | 80.07 SEK | 89.65 SEK | -0.89 | -31.19 | 2.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.