QH9 GER Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. · Technology · Communication Equipment

Latest close 6.52 EUR
-11.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -39.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -11.7%, after a -44.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 34 out of 100
Latest Close 6.52 EUR 7 Aug 2026
1W Return -11.7% latest completed week
4W Return -44.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -49.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -39.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -11.7%, after a -44.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3912-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.39Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -44.0% over four weeks, -49.0% over 12 weeks, and -12.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-11.7%
4W-44.0%
12W-49.0%
26W-19.3%
52W-12.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-62.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-36.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-287.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 77%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value58/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Quality16/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Momentum39/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Growth81/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
38.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-0.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
2.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
17.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
57.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

0 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-61.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.3%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-15.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-11.7%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.2% / -6.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 20266.52 EUR-11.7%10.81 EUR7.57 EUR-1.14-36.3662.3KOff
31 Jul 20267.38 EUR-15.5%10.84 EUR7.58 EUR-1.06-26.2242.1KOff
24 Jul 20268.74 EUR-14.4%10.84 EUR7.58 EUR-1.00-11.0338.7KOff
17 Jul 202610.21 EUR-12.4%10.81 EUR7.58 EUR-0.945.2013.9KOn
10 Jul 202611.65 EUR2.8%10.71 EUR7.57 EUR-0.7019.4025.4KOn
3 Jul 202611.33 EUR-1.4%10.56 EUR7.56 EUR-0.4513.71591On
26 Jun 202611.50 EUR-13.5%10.42 EUR7.54 EUR-0.0821.095.1KOn
19 Jun 202613.29 EUR-1.0%10.27 EUR7.53 EUR0.3239.247.6KOn
12 Jun 202613.41 EUR-4.4%10.04 EUR7.50 EUR0.5044.3010.6KOn
5 Jun 202614.03 EUR-1.3%9.81 EUR7.48 EUR0.6252.2213.9KOn
29 May 202614.21 EUR6.7%9.57 EUR7.44 EUR0.7354.2847.6KOn
22 May 202613.32 EUR4.1%9.39 EUR7.40 EUR0.8547.8932.8KOn
15 May 202612.79 EUR1.2%9.24 EUR7.37 EUR1.0249.5336.0KOn
8 May 202612.64 EUR-15.2%9.08 EUR7.34 EUR1.1947.24230.1KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context