9268 JPX Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Optimus Group Company Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Latest close 447.0 JPY
6.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 9.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 447.0 JPY 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 6.4% latest completed week
4W Return 9.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 51.9% 27 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 8.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 75.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 6.4%, after a 9.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4912-week average 0.69

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.49Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.8% over four weeks, -4.9% over 12 weeks, and 25.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W6.4%
4W9.8%
12W-4.9%
26W32.1%
52W25.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year27
Trend breadth51.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.34Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change65.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.21Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change86.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

1 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+22.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-16.2%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+6.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026447.0 JPY6.4%412.0 JPY446.9 JPY-0.34-2.211.1MOff
31 Jul 2026420.0 JPY2.4%408.6 JPY446.0 JPY-0.56-6.79890.5KOff
24 Jul 2026410.0 JPY1.7%405.9 JPY445.2 JPY-0.74-9.91332.6KOff
17 Jul 2026403.0 JPY-1.0%403.2 JPY444.4 JPY-0.87-11.35623.3KOff
10 Jul 2026407.0 JPY3.0%400.6 JPY443.6 JPY-0.99-16.78841.3KOff
3 Jul 2026395.0 JPY4.8%398.4 JPY442.7 JPY-1.14-21.34154.8KOff
26 Jun 2026377.0 JPY-1.8%396.7 JPY441.9 JPY-1.17-25.12160.3KOff
19 Jun 2026384.0 JPY1.1%395.7 JPY441.2 JPY-1.05-26.30277.1KOff
12 Jun 2026380.0 JPY-4.3%393.7 JPY440.4 JPY-0.83-21.89207.3KOn
5 Jun 2026397.0 JPY-2.0%391.8 JPY439.6 JPY-0.39-19.63234.3KOn
29 May 2026405.0 JPY2.8%389.3 JPY438.6 JPY-0.01-18.161.6MOn
22 May 2026394.0 JPY-16.2%386.8 JPY437.5 JPY0.30-17.143.9MOn
15 May 2026470.0 JPY2.2%384.9 JPY436.4 JPY0.531.381.1MOn
8 May 2026460.0 JPY1.5%380.6 JPY434.8 JPY0.66-3.08345.1KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context