- The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
AWC
GER
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
American Water Works Company, Inc. · Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Water
Latest close
117.1 EUR
-3.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.4%, after a -0.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
40
out of 100
Latest Close
117.1 EUR
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-3.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
3.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
15.4%
8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.57% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.1%.
Indicator stack
19/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 40.57%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
54/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.4%, after a -0.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3112-week average 0.36
12-week confirmation
Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.31Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.1% over four weeks, 3.0% over 12 weeks, and 1.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.46Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change189.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-4.86Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1033.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 85%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength9/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum37/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Growth71/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework21/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 21.1x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -3.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 61.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 36.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -27.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 9.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 5.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 5.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment54/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
6 positive · 13 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.7%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-7.4%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-3.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Utilities
4-week rank9 / 23
Group average-1.0%
Trend breadth65.2%
Trend65.2%active weekly trend signals
MD39.1%positive activity pressure
RS39.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Utilities - Regulated Water
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-0.1%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape37/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 37/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis25/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.31; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.57%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.57% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors24/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 56; Small Cap Core rank 73 SVQF21/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 295.0 of 375 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment54/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Pennsylvania American Water Completes Acquisition of the Sutersville-Sewickley Municipal Sewage Authority Wastewater System Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 117.1 EUR | -3.4% | 112.2 EUR | 115.2 EUR | 0.46 | -4.86 | 406 | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 121.2 EUR | 4.4% | 112.0 EUR | 115.3 EUR | 0.30 | 0.98 | 612 | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 116.1 EUR | 1.8% | 111.6 EUR | 115.3 EUR | -0.11 | -1.34 | 186 | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 114.0 EUR | -2.7% | 111.5 EUR | 115.3 EUR | -0.36 | -2.12 | 138 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 117.2 EUR | 6.7% | 111.3 EUR | 115.4 EUR | -0.51 | -0.43 | 657 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 109.8 EUR | 1.5% | 111.1 EUR | 115.4 EUR | -0.79 | -6.40 | 730 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 108.2 EUR | 0.8% | 111.1 EUR | 115.5 EUR | -0.81 | -6.77 | 25 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 107.3 EUR | 1.9% | 111.2 EUR | 115.6 EUR | -0.73 | -8.21 | 829 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 105.3 EUR | -1.8% | 111.3 EUR | 115.7 EUR | -0.68 | -11.41 | 830 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 107.2 EUR | -0.6% | 111.4 EUR | 115.8 EUR | -0.44 | -9.36 | 997 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 107.8 EUR | 1.8% | 111.8 EUR | 115.9 EUR | -0.23 | -5.56 | 655 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 105.9 EUR | -6.8% | 112.2 EUR | 116.0 EUR | -0.10 | -8.98 | 754 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 113.6 EUR | -0.4% | 112.7 EUR | 116.2 EUR | 0.26 | -2.53 | 77 | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 114.1 EUR | 4.7% | 112.7 EUR | 116.2 EUR | 0.47 | -1.77 | 198 | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.