- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.45% based on similar historical setup states.
AAV
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Advantage Energy Ltd. · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
10.80 CAD
-1.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.8%, after a 2.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
48
out of 100
Latest Close
10.80 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-1.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
7.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.3%.
Indicator stack
22/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 56.45%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
58/100
38 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 2.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 40.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.8%, after a 2.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1512-week average 0.14
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.3% over four weeks, 7.5% over 12 weeks, and -0.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.08Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1998.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.88Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change8.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 82%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality38/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework39/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 21.9x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -3.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 62.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 19.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- -10.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 4.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 28.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 144.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 38 relevant articles.
6 positive · 31 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.8%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-13.9%Week of 3 Apr.
Latest week-1.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.6% / -3.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Energy
4-week rank50 / 94
Group average3.3%
Trend breadth47.9%
Trend47.9%active weekly trend signals
MD23.4%positive activity pressure
RS47.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank30 / 47
Group average5.8%
Trend breadth53.2%
Trend53.2%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS57.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape46/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis18/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.45%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.45% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors47/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 36; Small Cap Core rank 24 SVQF39/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 185.5 of 304 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is positive across 38 relevant articles.
Earnings Scorecard: All 12 S&P 500 Energy stocks beat EPS estimates this week Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 10.80 CAD | -1.8% | 10.51 CAD | 10.23 CAD | 1.08 | -12.88 | 2.3M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 11.00 CAD | -0.9% | 10.52 CAD | 10.22 CAD | 1.14 | -8.84 | 4.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 11.10 CAD | 5.7% | 10.55 CAD | 10.21 CAD | 0.80 | -8.87 | 2.6M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 10.50 CAD | -0.6% | 10.56 CAD | 10.20 CAD | 0.36 | -13.96 | 3.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 10.56 CAD | 0.3% | 10.60 CAD | 10.19 CAD | -0.06 | -14.13 | 4.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 10.53 CAD | 3.7% | 10.65 CAD | 10.18 CAD | -0.52 | -14.83 | 211.8K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 10.15 CAD | 1.9% | 10.72 CAD | 10.17 CAD | -0.68 | -17.83 | 2.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 9.96 CAD | 0.9% | 10.80 CAD | 10.16 CAD | -0.70 | -20.00 | 826.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 9.87 CAD | -1.5% | 10.88 CAD | 10.14 CAD | -0.63 | -21.48 | 403.7K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.02 CAD | 3.0% | 10.95 CAD | 10.13 CAD | -0.54 | -19.82 | 1.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 9.73 CAD | -5.4% | 11.01 CAD | 10.12 CAD | -0.53 | -23.55 | 4.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 10.29 CAD | 2.4% | 11.06 CAD | 10.10 CAD | -0.48 | -19.08 | 4.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 10.05 CAD | 1.1% | 11.10 CAD | 10.08 CAD | -0.63 | -20.02 | 6.1M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 9.94 CAD | -1.8% | 11.13 CAD | 10.07 CAD | -0.74 | -21.87 | 5.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.