- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
BKT
ASX
Week ended 21 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Black Rock Mining Limited · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
0.013 AUD
8.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.3%, after a 13.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
29
out of 100
Latest Close
0.013 AUD
21 Aug 2026
1W Return
8.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
13.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-13.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
1.9%
1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.3x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
8.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 13.0%.
Indicator stack
1/51
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 31.53%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.3%, after a 13.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1612-week average 0.07
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 13.0% over four weeks, -13.3% over 12 weeks, and -55.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.28Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change75.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change35.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 23 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2024
Field coverage 55%
Model confidence 16%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength70/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Value66/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Quality64/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 37; rank 1 is best.
Momentum65/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 36; rank 1 is best.
Growth66/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- - Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- -68.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- - Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- - Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- - Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -15.6% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -40.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -40.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
1 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-55.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
17 Jul
21 Aug
Weeks higher9 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-15.4%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+8.3%Week of 21 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains1
Flat weeks4
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split16/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.4% / -8.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average20.9%
Trend breadth34.0%
Trend34.0%active weekly trend signals
MD59.0%positive activity pressure
RS69.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank- / 100
Group average10.3%
Trend breadth29.0%
Trend29.0%active weekly trend signals
MD38.0%positive activity pressure
RS48.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape22/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 31.53%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 31.53% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 96 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Black Rock Mining (ASX:BKT): Inside the Graphite Developer's Share Price Weakness Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 0.013 AUD | 8.3% | 0.0144 AUD | 0.0413 AUD | -0.28 | -22.07 | 7.1M | Off |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 0.012 AUD | 9.1% | 0.0146 AUD | 0.0418 AUD | -0.82 | -29.83 | 7.0M | Off |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 0.011 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0148 AUD | 0.0423 AUD | -1.13 | -37.90 | 4.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.011 AUD | -4.3% | 0.0152 AUD | 0.0428 AUD | -1.16 | -37.24 | 9.5M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 0.0115 AUD | 4.5% | 0.0153 AUD | 0.0434 AUD | -1.15 | -34.31 | 3.0M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 0.011 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0154 AUD | 0.044 AUD | -1.12 | -38.94 | 1.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.011 AUD | -8.3% | 0.0155 AUD | 0.0446 AUD | -0.98 | -40.10 | 307.0K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.012 AUD | 9.1% | 0.0156 AUD | 0.0453 AUD | -0.99 | -36.13 | 2.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 0.011 AUD | -15.4% | 0.0158 AUD | 0.0459 AUD | -0.79 | -41.79 | 2.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 0.013 AUD | 8.3% | 0.0159 AUD | 0.0466 AUD | -0.62 | -32.65 | 7.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.012 AUD | -14.3% | 0.016 AUD | 0.0472 AUD | -0.58 | -38.58 | 3.9M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 0.014 AUD | -6.7% | 0.0162 AUD | 0.0479 AUD | -0.35 | -28.05 | 19.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 0.015 AUD | 7.1% | 0.0163 AUD | 0.0487 AUD | -0.37 | -24.84 | 2.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 0.014 AUD | 0.0% | 0.0164 AUD | 0.0496 AUD | -0.43 | -30.32 | 10.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.