IAG LSE Week ended 07 Aug 2026

Weekly Investor Report

International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. · Industrials · Airlines

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Latest close 442.4 GBP
2.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 442.4 GBP 7 Aug 2026
1W Return 2.4% latest completed week
4W Return -6.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 18.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 7-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 10 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.4% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.1%. Indicator stack 63/52 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 48/100 24 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.4%, after a -6.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7112-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1010 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 10 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.1% over four weeks, 18.1% over 12 weeks, and 18.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 7 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.4%
4W-6.1%
12W18.1%
26W0.9%
52W18.4%
Active trend streak7 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.38Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-59.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-95.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 85%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality96/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Momentum88/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework94/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
5.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
25.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
27.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
30.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-11.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
8.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

6 positive · 9 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.4%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-14.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.4%Week of 7 Aug.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryGB Airlines
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average-4.5%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

EZJ · LSE-0.2%IAG · LSE-6.1%WIZZ · LSE-7.1%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis61/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 10/12.

Activity pressure 0.71; 10 reversal markers Factors94/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 9 SVQF94/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 17.5 of 260 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 24 relevant articles.

IAG share price forecast: what next for British Airways parent after earnings? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
7 Aug 2026442.4 GBP2.4%413.2 GBP283.0 GBP0.380.5356.6MOn
31 Jul 2026431.9 GBP-0.5%412.6 GBP281.2 GBP0.56-1.5882.2MOn
24 Jul 2026434.2 GBP-2.3%412.2 GBP279.5 GBP0.670.0961.3MOn
17 Jul 2026444.3 GBP-5.6%411.6 GBP277.8 GBP0.853.7045.3MOn
10 Jul 2026470.9 GBP-1.4%410.8 GBP275.9 GBP0.9410.9775.8MOn
3 Jul 2026477.5 GBP-1.1%408.5 GBP273.9 GBP0.8610.805.5MOn
26 Jun 2026482.7 GBP6.1%405.5 GBP271.8 GBP0.7214.1212.8MOn
19 Jun 2026454.8 GBP4.3%402.6 GBP269.8 GBP0.589.4024.6MOff
12 Jun 2026436.2 GBP3.7%400.1 GBP267.9 GBP0.324.2538.8MOff
5 Jun 2026420.8 GBP-2.2%398.5 GBP266.2 GBP0.101.8710.9MOff
29 May 2026430.1 GBP8.4%396.6 GBP264.5 GBP-0.113.8690.3MOff
22 May 2026396.9 GBP5.9%396.2 GBP262.7 GBP-0.45-4.4997.7MOff
15 May 2026374.7 GBP-2.7%396.7 GBP261.2 GBP-0.57-7.38210.9MOff
8 May 2026385.0 GBP3.5%397.2 GBP259.8 GBP-0.59-5.20104.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context