- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
MGNS
LSE
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Morgan Sindall Group plc · Industrials · Engineering & Construction
Latest close
4,494 GBP
1.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 32.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a -6.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
35
out of 100
Latest Close
4,494 GBP
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
1.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-6.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-0.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.2x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -6.1%.
Indicator stack
33/36
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
55/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -4.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 32.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a -6.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2512-week average 0.24
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.25Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -6.1% over four weeks, -0.7% over 12 weeks, and -1.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-129.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.75Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-319.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 72%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value92/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality13/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 12.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.0x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 10.4% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 12.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 4.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 3.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 58.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 10.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 33.1% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 54.3% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.5% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -1.7x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
6 positive · 15 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-10.5%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+1.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorGB Industrials
4-week rank93 / 100
Group average9.1%
Trend breadth46.0%
Trend46.0%active weekly trend signals
MD65.0%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryGB Engineering & Construction
4-week rank15 / 16
Group average4.0%
Trend breadth43.8%
Trend43.8%active weekly trend signals
MD56.2%positive activity pressure
RS50.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis27/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.25; No reversal markers Factors43/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 29; Small Cap Core rank 30 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
Morgan Sindall Group plc Revenue Breakdown – LSE:MGNS Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4,494 GBP | 1.4% | 4,704 GBP | 3,518 GBP | -0.18 | -10.75 | 556.5K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4,430 GBP | -1.7% | 4,718 GBP | 3,501 GBP | 0.07 | -12.08 | 740.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,506 GBP | -5.0% | 4,725 GBP | 3,485 GBP | 0.36 | -9.81 | 492.6K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,742 GBP | -1.0% | 4,730 GBP | 3,468 GBP | 0.61 | -4.16 | 420.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4,788 GBP | -5.8% | 4,728 GBP | 3,450 GBP | 0.62 | -2.57 | 630.5K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5,085 GBP | 2.8% | 4,723 GBP | 3,431 GBP | 0.45 | 1.48 | 96.9K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 4,948 GBP | 5.2% | 4,713 GBP | 3,410 GBP | 0.09 | 0.25 | 72.6K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,702 GBP | 2.0% | 4,706 GBP | 3,390 GBP | -0.23 | -3.59 | 276.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,608 GBP | 2.5% | 4,698 GBP | 3,371 GBP | -0.47 | -6.63 | 126.1K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,496 GBP | -1.0% | 4,691 GBP | 3,353 GBP | -0.50 | -7.94 | 76.3K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,542 GBP | 1.4% | 4,688 GBP | 3,336 GBP | -0.43 | -7.33 | 596.9K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4,480 GBP | -1.0% | 4,691 GBP | 3,319 GBP | -0.43 | -9.12 | 651.4K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,526 GBP | -4.4% | 4,699 GBP | 3,302 GBP | -0.42 | -5.78 | 1.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4,735 GBP | 1.8% | 4,708 GBP | 3,285 GBP | -0.46 | -1.70 | 516.9K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.