- The trend backdrop is active with a 48-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
4968
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Arakawa Chemical Industries, Ltd. · Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals
Latest close
2,252 JPY
23.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 43.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 23.8%, after a -0.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.
Setup score
78
out of 100
Latest Close
2,252 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
23.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
64.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
92.3%
48 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
3.5x
vs 13-week average
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
23.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.9%.
Indicator stack
96/67
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.11%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
52/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 43.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 23.8%, after a -0.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 3.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.9312-week average 0.74
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership10/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.93Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.9% over four weeks, 64.5% over 12 weeks, and 106.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 48 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak48 weeks
Active weeks in one year48
Trend breadth92.3%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-29.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership39.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change6.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
1 positive · 5 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Worst week-11.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week+23.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol10.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.0% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average5.2%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD55.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Specialty Chemicals
4-week rank74 / 100
Group average4.2%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape76/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 76/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis80/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 10/12.
Activity pressure 0.93; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.11%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.11% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
Arakawa Chemical Industries Hits Day Low at JPY 1,805 Amid Price Pressure Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 2,252 JPY | 23.8% | 1,573 JPY | 1,145 JPY | 1.05 | 39.15 | 3.0M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,819 JPY | -11.3% | 1,539 JPY | 1,136 JPY | 1.16 | 15.31 | 1.3M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 2,051 JPY | -5.1% | 1,518 JPY | 1,130 JPY | 1.25 | 29.66 | 735.4K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 2,161 JPY | -4.9% | 1,489 JPY | 1,123 JPY | 1.41 | 38.27 | 1.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 2,272 JPY | 8.1% | 1,455 JPY | 1,115 JPY | 1.49 | 36.84 | 1.8M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 2,102 JPY | 0.6% | 1,416 JPY | 1,106 JPY | 1.38 | 25.21 | 115.2K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 2,090 JPY | -4.3% | 1,383 JPY | 1,098 JPY | 1.31 | 25.70 | 344.5K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 2,183 JPY | 22.6% | 1,351 JPY | 1,090 JPY | 1.06 | 28.39 | 463.0K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,781 JPY | 7.9% | 1,315 JPY | 1,082 JPY | 0.49 | 13.47 | 213.1K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,650 JPY | 11.1% | 1,291 JPY | 1,076 JPY | 0.17 | 4.25 | 287.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,485 JPY | 8.3% | 1,272 JPY | 1,071 JPY | -0.24 | -6.00 | 474.6K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,371 JPY | 0.1% | 1,259 JPY | 1,067 JPY | -0.61 | -9.54 | 219.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,369 JPY | 6.7% | 1,250 JPY | 1,064 JPY | -0.77 | -7.34 | 450.3K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,283 JPY | 2.5% | 1,239 JPY | 1,061 JPY | -0.94 | -15.38 | 113.9K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.