- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.56% based on similar historical setup states.
7911
JPX
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
TOPPAN Holdings Inc. · Industrials · Conglomerates
Latest close
4,698 JPY
3.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a -9.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.
Setup score
37
out of 100
Latest Close
4,698 JPY
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
3.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-9.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
4.9%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
57.7%
30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -9.7%.
Indicator stack
32/39
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 60.56%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -1.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.8%, after a -9.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3612-week average 0.45
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -9.7% over four weeks, 4.9% over 12 weeks, and 13.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-126.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.87Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-30.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.5%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-15.4%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+3.8%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorJP Industrials
4-week rank87 / 100
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD45.0%positive activity pressure
RS28.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryJP Conglomerates
4-week rank94 / 100
Group average1.5%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS16.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis26/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.36; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.56%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.56% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.
Tokyo Market Summary: Nikkei Average rebounds; Kioxia Holdings gains on positive sentiment from broker target price upgrade; bank stocks weaken amid concerns over BOJ Governor Ueda's absence from policy meeting; TOPPAN rises firmly on favorable re Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 4,698 JPY | 3.8% | 4,757 JPY | 4,085 JPY | -0.04 | -12.87 | 6.1M | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 4,527 JPY | -6.7% | 4,754 JPY | 4,076 JPY | 0.26 | -14.96 | 10.8M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4,852 JPY | 7.5% | 4,758 JPY | 4,066 JPY | 0.40 | -9.83 | 5.2M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4,515 JPY | -13.2% | 4,754 JPY | 4,055 JPY | 0.40 | -15.89 | 8.8M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 5,201 JPY | -2.1% | 4,757 JPY | 4,046 JPY | 0.14 | -9.90 | 6.3M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 5,313 JPY | 2.6% | 4,751 JPY | 4,031 JPY | -0.40 | -10.00 | 1.2M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 5,180 JPY | 14.7% | 4,727 JPY | 4,016 JPY | -0.90 | -12.15 | 1.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4,515 JPY | 0.2% | 4,721 JPY | 4,002 JPY | -1.05 | -25.82 | 2.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4,507 JPY | 4.8% | 4,707 JPY | 3,992 JPY | -1.01 | -20.67 | 2.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 4,301 JPY | -5.7% | 4,697 JPY | 3,982 JPY | -0.79 | -25.36 | 1.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4,562 JPY | 3.4% | 4,678 JPY | 3,973 JPY | -0.41 | -21.03 | 9.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4,413 JPY | -1.5% | 4,652 JPY | 3,963 JPY | -0.28 | -20.55 | 8.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 4,480 JPY | -15.4% | 4,631 JPY | 3,953 JPY | -0.20 | -17.44 | 13.3M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 5,297 JPY | 4.3% | 4,605 JPY | 3,943 JPY | -0.24 | -5.09 | 4.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.