- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.12% based on similar historical setup states.
FEC
TOR
Week ended 07 Aug 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Frontera Energy Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Latest close
8.10 CAD
-9.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.4%, after a -9.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
8.10 CAD
7 Aug 2026
1W Return
-9.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-9.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-12.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-9.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -9.0%.
Indicator stack
22/42
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.12%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
37 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 31.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.4%, after a -9.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3912-week average 0.56
12-week confirmation
Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.39Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -9.0% over four weeks, -12.5% over 12 weeks, and 34.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.61Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change40.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.96Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1474.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 09 Aug 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 82%
Model confidence 77%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength81/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum70/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 23.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 7.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -1.1% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 22.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -0.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -8.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 14.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 73.6% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 12.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 86.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.
8 positive · 27 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-46.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
13 Feb
13 Mar
10 Apr
8 May
5 Jun
3 Jul
7 Aug
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-32.6%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week-9.4%Week of 7 Aug.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol6.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.6% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Energy
4-week rank89 / 94
Group average3.3%
Trend breadth47.9%
Trend47.9%active weekly trend signals
MD23.4%positive activity pressure
RS47.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Oil & Gas E&P
4-week rank46 / 47
Group average5.8%
Trend breadth53.2%
Trend53.2%active weekly trend signals
MD17.0%positive activity pressure
RS57.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis37/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 7/12.
Activity pressure 0.39; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.12%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.12% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 3; Small Cap Core rank 7 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 37 relevant articles.
What's Going On With Frontera Energy Corp Stock Thursday? Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | 8.10 CAD | -9.4% | 10.25 CAD | 7.92 CAD | -0.61 | -12.96 | 284.2K | Off |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 8.94 CAD | -1.2% | 10.19 CAD | 7.93 CAD | -0.63 | -0.74 | 514.8K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 9.05 CAD | 0.6% | 10.10 CAD | 7.94 CAD | -0.87 | 0.26 | 316.0K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 9.00 CAD | 1.1% | 10.00 CAD | 7.95 CAD | -0.93 | 0.26 | 604.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 8.90 CAD | 3.5% | 9.90 CAD | 7.95 CAD | -1.03 | -0.82 | 302.7K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 8.60 CAD | 1.2% | 9.80 CAD | 7.96 CAD | -1.05 | -3.99 | 37.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 8.50 CAD | -18.0% | 9.73 CAD | 7.98 CAD | -0.99 | -4.39 | 98.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 10.36 CAD | 0.8% | 9.66 CAD | 7.99 CAD | -0.94 | 16.63 | 15.0K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10.28 CAD | -0.2% | 9.53 CAD | 7.99 CAD | -0.96 | 16.13 | 135.4K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.31 CAD | 11.2% | 9.37 CAD | 8.00 CAD | -0.99 | 18.64 | 71.7K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 9.27 CAD | -0.3% | 9.20 CAD | 8.00 CAD | -1.01 | 6.18 | 363.2K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 9.30 CAD | 0.4% | 9.07 CAD | 8.01 CAD | -1.00 | 7.87 | 259.6K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 9.26 CAD | 2.1% | 8.93 CAD | 8.02 CAD | -0.91 | 9.90 | 266.2K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 9.07 CAD | -4.8% | 8.80 CAD | 8.02 CAD | -0.37 | 7.60 | 473.5K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.